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Ukraine under the attack

Why is Iran also attacking Ukraine?

By Masego ThabilePublished 3 years ago 27 min read

Only a few months into Russia's invasion

of Ukraine the Kremlin's war machine was

already beginning to bog down and run

out of gas sometimes literally Ukrainian

resistance was far more ferocious than

Moscow's military planners had initially

anticipated Russian casualties were

beginning to pile up in the tens of

thousands while Russia's inventories of

ammunition guns tanks and trucks were

all getting rapidly depleted as the

front line demanded ever greater amounts

of resources be burned to keep

stable by the end of 2022 the front line

had more or less stabilized along

the front that has largely remained static

up to the production of this video but

the Ukrainians possess an advantage that

the Russians inherently do not they have

the vast nearly bottomless resources of

the American and Western European

military-industrial complexes behind

them as more tanks guns artillery and

Munitions produced in Europe and the

United States within factories the

Russians cannot possibly destroy

continue to pour into the hands of

Ukrainian soldiers and partisans since

Russia ultimately has more than three

times Ukraine's population to pull

Manpower from The Invasion is gradually

evolved into a brutal War of Attrition

between Russia's better ability to

replace losses in Manpower with

Ukraine's better able to replace

losses in equipment and supplies largely

cut off and isolated from trade with

the outside world after unprecedented

Western Financial sanctions the Russian

government has found it increasingly

challenging to replace their losses in

tanks aircraft artillery and especially

microchips and another Advanced weapon

systems to continue fighting on an

effective 21st-century War but by Ukrainian civilian

infrastructure into Rubble by

overwhelming their air defenses with

sheer numbers I a tactic which

eventually contributed to roughly half

of the Ukrainian electric grid getting

knocked offline in a deliberate Campaign

Of Terror but it's not just the drones

that the Iranians are actively sending

to assist the Russians either the

Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps better

known as the IRGC is the unconventional

he

end of 2022 one country had stepped up

above all the others to begin supplying

the Russian war machine with much of the

protection equipment it needs to continue staying

in the fight against Iran as the winter season

of 2022-23 set in hundreds of Iranian

manufactured Kamikaze drones known as

the Shah-ed 136 suddenly began appearing

across the battlefield in Ukraine under

Russian service the Russians would go on

to use swarms of these relatively

inexpensive Iranian-made drones to help

bombard Ukrainian civilian

infrastructure into Rubble by

overwhelming their air defenses with

sheer numbers I a tactic which

eventually contributed to roughly half

of the Ukrainian electric grid getting

knocked offline in a deliberate Campaign

Of Terror but it's not just the drones

that the Iranians are actively sending

to assist the Russians either the

Islamic revolutionary guard Corps better

known as the IRGC is the unconventional

asymmetric and ideological military wing

of the Iranian armed forces and by the

end of 2022 they had deployed many of

their military advisors and Soldiers

on the ground within the Russian

occupied sections of Ukraine and in

addition to the hundreds of Kamikaze

drones the Iranians have also been

providing the Russians with much needed

ammunition artillery shells ballistic

missiles and body armor to help keep

their inventory stable and to help keep

them fighting on for longer the Iranian

regime has gone all in on militarily

supporting the Russian side during the

invasion of Ukraine in much the same way

that the Americans and Europeans are

actively supporting the Ukrainian side

but the growing cooperation between

Moscow and Tehran extend far beyond the

borders of Ukraine and the world may

just be witnessing the birth of a

full-blown Russian Iranian military

An alliance that would Define the 21st

century in the region in many ways this

makes perfect geopolitical sense to both

sides of the moment in the aftermath of

Russia's invasion of Ukraine the Russian

Federation received an unprecedented

hail storm of financial sanctions from

Western and Western Alliance countries

from around the world to the point where

it suddenly became the most heavily

sanctioned regime on the planet with

more than triple the amount of sanctions

levied against it as the world's second

most heavily sanctioned country Iran the

two countries ended in 2022 and enter 2023

as the number one and number two most

financially isolated Pariah states in

the world and so they each have few

Alternatives right now to trade with

then each other as a consequence Russian

exports to Iran have risen by more than

27 since the invasion of Ukraine began

while Iranian exports to Russia have

risen by more than 10 percent Russia has

since agreed to invest more than 40

billion dollars into helping develop

Iran's natural gas infrastructure

whether the Russians even helped the

Iranians launch a satellite into orbit

last August that the Pentagon claims

it's helping Iran's drones operate over

Ukraine while extremely ideologically

opposed at the national level Iran and

Russia also ultimately views themselves

as sharing the same common enemy in the

form of the United States and the

collective West Iran and Russia have for

years now fought together on the same

side to prop up the regime of Bashar

al-Assad in Syria and ever fearful of a

potential future conflict with the

United States and the Persian Gulf

the region the Ukrainian Battlefield grants

the Iranians a valuable opportunity to

test their military hardware on the

Russian side against American supplied

Hardware on the Ukrainian side so they

can analyze how they stack up against

each other at the same time Iran and

Russia complements each other

militarily extremely well the Iranians

are capable of supplying the Russians

with a lot of the ammunition drones

Rockets missiles and body armor that

they need to keep fighting in Ukraine

while the Russians can and are now actively

are supplying the Iranians with some of

their advanced fighter jets hello

copters and air defense systems like the

s-300 and s-400 that the Iranians need

to defend their nuclear weapons research

facilities from potential Israeli or

American airstrikes there's even the

potential for the Russians to one day go

even further and do what was up until

recently completely Unthinkable assist

the Iranian regime with developing their

own nuclear weapon but Iran and Russia's

growing Alliance and partnership in

Ukraine and elsewhere today in the 2020s

is a pretty strange aberration in

history because much like Russia and

China Russia and Iran have pretty much

been major Rivals and bitter enemies for

nearly their entire histories and still

today just beneath the surface of their

partnership historic tensions Fester

after centuries of conflict Mutual

mistrust and betrayals for you see ever

since diplomatic relations were first

established centuries ago between the

Russians and the Persians have

fought multiple Wars against each other

largely over their competing influences

and interests in the Caspian Sea

Central Asia and the caucus Us by the

turn of the 19th century the Khajar

dynasty of Iran controlled pretty much

the entirety of modern-day Iran's

borders with the addition of pretty much

the entirety of the South Caucasus

comprising the modern-day states of

Armenia and Azerbaijan and much of

Georgia along with the now Russian

territory of Dagestan the Iranians have

controlled much of these territories for

centuries but beginning in 1804 the

Russian Empire began invading and

advancing into the area and conquering

it in two separate treaties signed in

1813 and 1828 the Russians conquered and

annexed the territories from Iran that

would later make up modern-day

Azerbaijan Armenia Georgia and Dagestan

territories that would remain a part of

Russia and the Soviet Union for nearly

the next two centuries until the 1990s

when the Soviet Union ultimately

collapsed but Russian influence in this

formerly Iranian part of the world

continues to persist Dagestan remains a

core Russian territory to this day while

South Ossetia and Georgia remain under

de facto Russian military occupation and

Armenia accounts for itself as a member of

moscow's auto military Alliance and for

the past two centuries ever since

Persian and Iranian nationalists have

lamented the loss of the South Caucasus

to the Russians as a national

embarrassment in humiliation but it

would be far from the final time that

the Russians and Iranians would come

directly to blows across the 19th

century one of the British Empire's

primary geopolitical goal was to block

the Russian Empire from expanding

further across Central Asia towards

British India and the Indian

Ocean where the Russian Navy could

theoretically use newly acquired ports

to challenge the existing Naval

supremacy of Britain within the Indian

Ocean and so in 1907 the two colonial

empires reached a compromise by

effectively carving up Iran into mutual

spheres of influence with the northern

half falling under Russian influence in

the Southeastern fourth falling under

British influence with a neutral buffer

zone in between keeping them separated

naturally, the Iranians themselves were

not invited to participate in the

negotiations and their sovereignty

continued to be undermined by Saint

Petersburg in London during the second

world war after Nazi Germany invaded the

Soviet Union the British and the Soviets

jointly invaded Iran from the North and

the South in 1941 and toppled the

reigning Shaw to keep the

country open for Allied supply routes

bringing critical War materials up to

support the Soviet Eastern Front the

Soviets would remain occupying parts of

the country for the next five years

until 1946 but Iran emerged

under the reign of the previous Shaw

Sun Muhammad Reza palavi entered into

the following Cold War as an autocratic

but staunchly pro-American and

pro-western state firmly opposed to the

spread of Communism any further in the

Middle East for decades across the 1960s

and 70s Imperial Iran effectively

functioned as America's policeman in the

Middle East guarding the Persian Gulf in their supply of half the world's known

reserves of oil from any encroachment by

the Soviet relations between Tehran and

Moscow remains tense but then something

intensely interesting and unexpected

happened in 1979 the Islamic revolution

happened in Iran and with it the

geopolitical calculus of

The Middle East changed forever the

extremely pro-american Shah was suddenly

toppled from power in the extremely

conservative anti-American

Ayatollah Khamenei seized power in his

place the new Iran that emerged under

hominy's leadership was declared as the

Islamic Republic of Iran a revolutionary

Theocratic Islamic State ruled by the

ultra-conservative Iranian Shiite Muslim

clergy class with Humane himself acting

as the clergies in the new regime's

the supreme leader and the new revolutionary

Iran was not Coy about their grander

objectives going forward homing was open

about his desire to export Iran's

Islamic revolution abroad to every other

Muslim countries and areas around the world

with the ultimate aim of gradually

unifying the Islamic World under the

rule of Iran's clergy and completely

destroying the state of Israel from

existence but these ambitious and

aggressive goals brought the new

revolutionary Iran into conflict with

pretty much every other state in

existence after the rating of the

American Embassy in Tehran and the

abductions of 52 American diplomats at

the end of 1979. the United States

severed its relations with Iran and the

two countries have remained bitter

enemies with no official relations for

more than four decades ever since then

encouraged by the sudden withdrawal of

American and Israeli support for Iran

and Iran's internal revolutionary

chaos Saddam Hussein's Arab Nationalist

and nominally secular regime in

neighboring Iraq balked at the prospect

of the Islamic Republic exporting the

Islamic Revolution into Iraq's Shia

Muslim majority and undermining Saddam's

own authority and so determined to kill

the revolution in its cradle and Conquer

Iran's era majority province of

Kazakhstan which also happened to

control around 90 percent of Iran's oil

reserves Saddam launched his full-scale

invasion of Iran just one year after the

toppling the Shah his invasion would

eventually, be financed and bankrolled

with billions of dollars from Saudi Arabia

Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates all

Arab monarchies fear the Iranian

clergies call for Revolution and the

toppling of monarchies across the

Islamic world like their own it would be

the beginning of the very long rivalry

between the nobility and the monarchists

in Saudi Arabia and the clergy in Iran

that continues to this very day but

Iran's Islamic revolution also sent

shock waves throughout the Soviet Union

while each now shared a common enemy in

the United States also remained

sharply divided along ideological lines

with Iran a committed religious

theocracy and the Soviet Union a

committed atheist State fear of the

Islamic revolution spreading from Iran

into Afghanistan and then into the Soviet

Central Asia and stirring up uprisings

where the populations were predominantly

Muslims were a primary motivator for the

Soviets' decision to invade Afghanistan at

the end of 1980. to prop up the

Afghan Communist Regime there that would

ideally From Moscow's perspective keep

the Islamic Revolution from expanding

Beyond Iran's borders and into the

Muslim citizen sins of Soviet Central

Asia Iran sent proxy forces and

equipment to support the Shia Muslim

mujahideen forces in Afghanistan

fighting against the Soviets and Soviet

and Iranian forces themselves entered

into direct combat against each other on

more than one occasion with the Soviet

Special Forces launching raids into

neighboring Iranian territory to destroy

mujahideen bases and Soviet fighter jets

even shooting down a pair of Iranian

helicopters in 1988 but then in 1989

after nearly a decade of failed War the

Soviets finally withdrew from

Afghanistan and then just two years

later the Soviet Union itself collapsed

in the aftermath the Russian Federation

then emerged was no longer the committed

communist and atheist state that it used

to be and so relations between it and

the theocracy in Iran gradually began to

improve from outright hostility to

fairly normal by 2000 Iran was

the largest customer in the world of

Russian-produced weapons and by 2007 the

Russians even agreed to begin supplying

the Iranians with their 300 missile

defense system but the relationship

between Moscow and Tehran didn't begin

evolving into a full-fledged Alliance

until Civil War erupted within Syria in

2011. As both regimes suddenly found

themselves desperately backing the exact

same side there the long-standing Arab

the nationalist regime of Bashar al-Assad

and his Syrian Baath party for Russia

relations with the Assad regime in Syria

had been warm ever since the Cold War

era staunchly opposed to Israel's

existence as a state in the Israeli

occupation of the Syrian Golan Heights

which Israel occupied in 1967 after

being attacked by Syria and after which

Israel then unilaterally declared to

Annex in 1981. Syria was also staunchly

opposed to Israel's primary

International backer of the United States

and at the same time Syria also bitterly

contested the control of the hate

Province within Turkey insists that

hate had historically belonged to Syria

for centuries and had only been

separated from them and given to the

Turks by the French back in the 1930s as

a product of colonialism and so

naturally with major territorial

disputes with Israel whose greatest Ally

was the United States and with turkey

who was a member of NATO the Syrian

regime aligned itself closer to the

Soviet Union during the Cold War instead

in exchange for the Soviet military and

financial aid the Syrians then granted

the Soviets the ability to establish an

overseas Naval facility here at Tardis

which became the Soviet Navy's only

repair and replenishment facility

located anywhere in the Mediterranean

Coastline which thus enabled Soviet and

later Russian warships and submarines to

operate freely in the Mediterranean

theater without having to pass through

the nato-controlled Turkish Straits back

to their home ports and Facilities on

the Black Sea after the Soviet Union's

collapse Russia inherited the control

over the naval facilities of Tardis and

as the Civil War erupted in Syria in

2011 and the Assad regime looked

imminently likely to collapse Moscow

feared that whatever regime would

replace him would likely be a

pro-western one that would end up

terminating their lead to the port

Tardis which would eliminate the Russian

Navy's ability to effectively operate in

the Mediterranean and their ability to

challenge NATO there so to stop that

from happening Russia deployed tens of

thousands of soldiers and mercenaries to

Syria beginning in 2015. to

prop up the pro-Moscow regime while the

Russian Air Force carried out over 70

000 airstrikes against the Assad

regime's various internal enemies the

results were a decisive strategic

victory for the Kremlin as Assad's

territorial control over Syria was

firmly expanded at the expense of the

rebels and being ever grateful for the

help the Assad regime grant the

Russians a new sweetheart deal to their

The naval facility at Tardis began in

2017 Russia was granted full Sovereign

territorial control over the base of

tardis for 49 years until

2066 completely free of charge and

completely free from Syria's legal

jurisdiction Tardis essentially became a

de facto over an outpost of the Russian

Federation itself in Syria on the

Mediterranean Coast where they could

park up to 11 warships at a time and

even store nuclear weapons Russia's

Southern flank against nato in the

Mediterranean had been secured, but it

was also helped out tremendously by Iran

to the Islamic Republic the Assad regime

in Syria remaining in power was of equal

strategic importance but completely

different reasons you see Syria along

with Iraq and Lebanon, all comprising the

key parts of what the Iranians like to

call their axis of resistance their

the geopolitical strategy aimed at

countering all of their perceived

enemies across the Middle East the

United States Israel and the gulf era

monarchies in exactly that order of

severity ever since the 1979 Islamic

revolution shifted Iran from an ally of

Israel's and Americas to an Unapologetic

enemy they have found significant common

ground with the Assad regime in Syria

because despite their significant

ideological differences between

Theocratic Islamic nationalism and

nominally secular Arab nationalism

share the same common enemies

Syria has maintained the permanent

official state of war with Israel ever

since the founding of the Israeli state

in 1948. Syria has never recognized

Israeli statehood and Syria have remained

the most militantly anti-Israel state in

the Arab world Israel continues to

occupy the Golan Heights which They

seized from Syria during the Six-Day War

of 1967 and later unilaterally declared

to Annex Israel in 1981 a move that

went unrecognized by any other country

in the world until the United States

officially did so in 2019 and even

better from Iran's perspective the Assad

regime in Syria is also largely

dominated by the country's minority Shia

Muslim adjacent branch of Alawite

Muslims diminishing the religious

differences between the ruling regimes

of Iran and Syria and so with Iran and

Syria both wishing to see the eventual

destruction of Israel and the rolling

back of American influence in the Middle

East it only made sense for them

each to cooperate wherever they could

but standing in between them for decades

was Saddam Hussein's but autist and

Arab nationalist regime in Iraq who

hated both of them for different reasons

Saddam hated the Iranians because he

feared their exportation of the Islamic

revolution into Iraq's majority Shia

Muslim population and he hated the

Syrian Baptist Arab nationalist

government because while they shared the

same ideology in the same party Saddam

felt that he should be the senior leader

and that Syria's Bahata party should

have subordinated itself beneath his own

authority which the Assad regime was

unwilling to do for decades Saddam's

Iraq was often viewed as the Arab

world's bulwark against the Persians in

Iran and their radical Islamic

revolution spreading any further into

the Arab world but after Saddam suddenly

invaded and conquered Kuwait in 1990 to

seize their oil assets and then began

preparing for a further Invasion into

Saudi Arabia to Seize their oil assets

the mood of the rest of the Arabs in the

United States shifted sharply against

him the United States intervened in the

Gulf War of 1991 to prevent

Saddam from dominating the world's

supply of oil around the Persian Gulf

and then finished the job in 2003 by

invading a rock itself and overthrowing

him and then later executing him under

dubious accusations of his possession of

weapons of mass destruction but in doing

so the United States generated a power

the vacuum within a rock between the

majority Shia Arabs of the South where

Arabs of the center where there

isn't any oil and the minority

Sunni Kurds of the north where there's

also oil and so after establishing an

ill-conceived half-baked democracy that

the majority of Shia Muslims in the country

would inevitably end up winning and

controlling the United States basically

just spent eight years achieving all of

Iran's interests in Iraq instead of

their own Iran wants to permanently keep

Iraq is decentralized and as weak of a

state as physically possible to

both keep a staunchly anti-iron figure

like Saddam from Evera rising there

again in to also keep their supply

routes by land open to their primary

Ally in Syria for years following the

toppling of Saddam the Iranians have

worked tirelessly to recruit and trained

proxy militia forces out of Iraq's Shia

era population these Iranian-backed

Shiite militia proxies in Iraq will then

take weapons and supplies given to them

by the Iranian State carrying them

across a rock and then through the

sparsely populated border region into

Iranian allies Syria who will then more

than happily allow them to continue on

transporting those weapons and supplies

to Hezbollah in Lebanon a political

military organization built out of

lebanon's own Shia Muslim population and

financed and trained by the Iranian

Islamic revolutionary guard Corps with

the same end goals as the Iranian

State the unification of all Islamic

peoples beneath one flag the expulsion

of Western, powers viewed as imperialists

and colonialists from the Middle East

and the destruction of Israel

Over time Hezbollah gradually grew to

become arguably even more powerful than

the Lebanese State itself

the organization currently has more and

better armed soldiers than the actual

Lebanese Army does and in 2020 a

Hezbollah dominated Coalition even

managed to take control over the

Lebanese government Lebanon therefore

represents the first outside country

that the Iranians managed to

successfully export their Islamic

revolution to Hezbollah itself

remains a critical component of Iran's

ability to attack Israel and project

power into the Eastern Mediterranean

where increasingly Rich deposits of

natural gas keeps getting discovered

within the Israeli-exclusive economic

Maritime Zone that the nearby Hezbollah

can attack and harass to

prevent the Israelis from accessing them

but the civil war in Syria threatened to

destroy all of Iran's Decades of efforts

in Lebanon putting Hezbollah into its

position of power against Israel we're

the pro-Iranian and pro-Hezbollah Assad

regime to fall from power and

the pro-western regime takes its place Iran's

ability to funnel weapons and Supplies

by land to Hezbollah Lebanon would be

destroyed and so Iran's ability to

attack Israel and project power into the

The Mediterranean would be significantly

crippled and so to prevent that from

happening the Iranians found themselves

fighting side by side with the Russians

in Syria who was trying to defend their

port in Naval strategy against NATO it

was largely the culmination of the Iranian

forces and their proxies fighting in the

the Russian Air Force fighting for the

Assad regime in the skies that won

Assad-backed control over most of the

country by 2019 and then following

Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022 the

Kremlin began having to rely on Iran and

the country even further the Russians

pulled out most of their troops

mercenaries and equipment from Syria in

order to redeploy them into the more

pressing theater in Ukraine and so the

Iranian forces and their proxies have

been largely left behind in their place

to protect and even further expand the

Russians gain in the country for the

Assad regime and the all-important Naval

facility at Tardis then of course as

Western Financial sanctions begin to

rain down on Russia across 2022 and into

2023 just like they did on a run after

the Islamic Revolution in 1979. the

Russian Federation and the Islamic

Republic emerged as the two most heavily

sanctioned countries on the planet and

the world's two largest Pariah States

sensing the two Nations growing military

cooperation in Syria their shared status

as Parias cut off from the Western

Financial world and their shared

hostility towards the United States it

was no surprise then that Vladimir Putin

decided to make his first official state

visit outside of the former Soviet space

following the invasion of Ukraine to

Iran in July of 2022 where he met with

Iran's current supreme leader the

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei traded between the

two countries accelerated further as

Russia's access to the European market

was decimated and as the Russians began

being forced to Pivot their vast exports

of oil and gas away from Europe and

towards Asian economies like China and

India has emerged as a particular

help the Russians since the invasion

of Ukraine began because India wishes to

pursue a policy of global non-alignment

similar to how it operated between

Moscow and Washington during the Cold

War era the Indian government has

declined to apply any sanctions on the

Russian regime following the invasion of

Ukraine and considers the war to be

entirely a European Affair that is not

of their concern quite to the contrary

of the West, India has dramatically

increased their purchases of discounted

Russian oil gas and fertilizer since the

invasion began which helped India

acquire the resources and needs for

cheap and help Supply the Russians with

cash to continue fighting by the end

of 2022 the volume of trade between

India and Russia had more than doubled

from the year previously and by the end

of this year in 2023 it is projected to

increase even further this is all

suddenly boosted Russia to become the

number one largest supplier of oil and

fertilizer to India while even before

the war the Russians were also by far

the largest supplier of weapons and

equipment to the Indian Armed Forces as

long ago 2017 68 percent of the Indian

military Hardware Imports were coming

from Russia alone while Indio represents

the Russian defense industry's second

largest customer worldwide after the

Iranians and third Russia and India

therefore have a very close economic

relationship but getting Russia's

exports to India is shall we say

complicated the traditional route for

Russia to export oil gas fertilizer and

arms to the Indian market takes them

from Saint Petersburg and then by ship

through the Baltic Sea and the Danish

Straits controlled by NATO through the

English Channel controlled by NATO

through the Strait of Gibraltar

controlled on the Northern Side by NATO

across the Mediterranean and through the

Suez Canal then across the Red Sea and

through the dangerous babelman Deb

Strait with major American and French

military bases in Djibouti and then

finally across the Arabian Sea to India

this route is long and expensive and after

the Russian Invasion of Ukraine

geopolitically tenuous as it passes

through no less than five major narrow

Maritime chokepoints four of which are

heavily under the influence of NATO

member states and their militaries and

this is where Iran once again comes into

play to assist the Russians long aware

of their important but vulnerable

Maritime trade route to India the

Russians and Indians have jointly for

decades have now been working together on a

a project known as the international

north-south transport Corridor a vast

the interconnected system of Railways

highways and ships that can transport

Russian exports in the north more

directly to India down in the South

Indian Studies have suggested that once

fully operational the ins TC will reduce

the price of Russian exports to India by

about 30 percent and reduce the travel

time of exports by about 40 percent

while it will also further enable

Russian exports make their way to

India without having to pass through any

geopolitically sensitive choke points

meaning India can keep getting cheap

resources necessary to power and Advance

their economy and Russia can keep

getting cash to circumvent Western

Financial sanctions without the serious

risk of disruption Iran is therefore the

key intermediary between the Indian and

Russian markets as part of the plan will

entail loading Russian exports up on his

ships that will flow down the Caspian

Sea enters Iran and then travels by

train and Highway across the country

towards Iran's Southern ports on the

Gulf of Oman and then continue from

there across the Arabian Sea towards

India by Shep if the plan is successful

Putin's Russia may just end up achieving

an elusive goal that neither the Soviets

nor the czars before him ever could

establish Russian Maritime access on the

Indian Ocean Iran thus represents a

geographically vital area for the

export their goods across

and into India and this is yet a further

reason for the Russians to collaborate

with the Iranians and expand their

growing partnership in the months that

followed Putin's meeting with the

Ayatollah in June of 2022 Iran was happy

to then begin providing the Russians

with their drones missiles body armor

and more for four primary reasons first

since the Americans are supplying the

Ukrainian side with American-made

weapons Iran supplying the Russian side

with Iranian-made weapons Grand them a

facilities from any potential Israeli

airstrikes since Israel has insisted for

years now that they would preemptively

bomb Iran's nuclear weapons facilities

if they ever believe the Iranians were

close to developing one and

that leads us to the third reason why

Iran is providing the Russians with

military equipment to fight in Ukraine

they may be hoping that the Russians go

a step further and assist them

with developing a nuclear weapon at

first thought that idea sounds

completely insane if the Russians help

provide Iran with a nuclear weapon it

would immediately and unequivocally

torpedo Russia's relationship with all

of Iran's Rivals that aren't necessarily

Russia's Rivals like Israel Saudi Arabia

and the United Arab Emirates all three

of these countries remain important

Financial Partners of the Kremlins

because they buy a lot of Russia's

weapons as well and they have all so far

stayed generally neutral in Ukraine

conflict so alienating them by providing

a nuclear bomb on Iran would probably be

a bad move Israel has repeatedly stated

that Iran acquiring a nuclear weapon

would be considered a casual ballet

for a preemptive first strike on Iranian

nuclear weapon sites that could lead to

a full-fledged War exploding between

Israel and Iran while Saudi Arabia would

likely immediately seek to acquire their

own nuclear weapons as well to

counter the nuclear status of their

greatest rival but if the relationship

between Moscow and the West continues to

get even worse if the Ukrainians begin

making even more military gains on the

battlefield supplied with American Arms

and began threatening Russia's hold over

Crimea and Sebastopol the headquarters

of the Russian Black Sea Fleet then

Russia may be further incentivized to

take riskier asymmetric actions to

distract America and the West with

conflicts Beyond Ukraine helping the

Iranians suddenly acquire a nuclear

weapon is precisely a way for the

Russians to do this as it would

immediately trigger a conflict in the

Middle East between Iran and Israel that

could quickly spiral into another major

war that the Americans would be forced

to divert at least some and probably

most of their military attention towards

because unlike in Ukraine a war between

nuclear-armed Israel and nuclear-armed

Iran or a conflict between nuclear

seeking Saudi Arabia and nuclear-armed

Iran across the vast oil fields of the

Persian Gulf where half of the world's

oil is located are each conflict that

the American Military itself would be

highly likely to get directly involved

in meaning that America's current focus

on Ukraine would be massively distracted

but Iran wants a nuclear weapon as well

because they view acquiring them as a

sort of nuclear shield from a western

military intervention ever since 2003

the Iranians have sat by and watched on

as other non-nuclear-armed Pariah

regimes who ran afoul of the United

States like Saddam's Iraq and Gaddafi's

Libya was easily toppled by Power

after vastly conventionally Superior

American and European Armed Forces

intervened against them at the same time

they have witnessed how America and

Western Nations have skirted around

direct military interventions against

The Pariah States they are armed with nuclear

weapons like North Korea after 2006 and

Russia after it invaded Ukraine

nuclear weapons are the most guaranteed

and tested insurance policies available to

ensure that your country will not be

invaded by a hostile foreign power and

even further Iran's ability to influence

events in the Middle East and pursue

their ultimate foreign policy objectives

have been growing worse ever since 2020

largely because the United States

this is the fourth and final reason why

the Iranians are so eager to begin

supporting the Russians against Ukraine

and NATO after Jordan normalized

relations with Israel in 1994 there

wasn't a single in other countries the

Arab world that would lastingly

recognize Israel again until a torrent

of them, all began doing so suddenly in

2020. after negotiations with the United

States Washington was able to convince

the Sunni monarchies of both the UnitedArab Emirates and Bahrain to normalize

relations with Israel in 2020 and then

in exchange for America's recognition of

Morocco's territorial claim to Western

Sahara Washington convinced the monarchy

in Morocco to normalize relations with

Israel as well and then in exchange for

removing Sudan from the state sponsors

of terrorism list and providing a loan

of 1.2 billion dollars Sudan was turned

by Washington as well and normalized

relations with Israel were four

countries in the Islamic World

normalizing relations with Israel in

under a year meaning four fewer nations

in the Muslim World willing to be

hostile towards Israel and four less

Nations willing to support Iran's War

against Israel, there were even Rumblings

in 2021 and 2022 Saudi Arabia

normalizing relations with Israel as

well since each shared a mutual enemy in

Iran and so recognizing that they were

suddenly and rapidly losing ground in

the Middle East to American and Israeli

diplomacy Iran decided to approach both

Saudi Arabia and China agree to an

unprecedented deal in March of 2023.

under Chinese mediation revolutionary

Iran would finally restore diplomatic

relations with its monarchist rival

Saudi Arabia after they had been severed

seven years previously back in 2016 to

Iran the deal is not a peace agreement

the regime remains militantly opposed to

Saudi Arabia's monarchy in its close

relationship with the United States but

the deal enables Iran to accomplish

three things temporarily set aside their

Regional Cold War and Rivalry against

their perceived lesser enemy the Saudis

and focused resources on countering

their perceived greater enemies instead

the United States in Israel secondly it

undermines what was

the legitimacy of American diplomacy in the

Middle East by making China appear as

the great mediator and Peacemaker and

thirdly it likely stalls Saudi Arabia as

and other Arab Nations willing to

normalize relations with Israel as they

no longer perceive Iran to be the major

looming existential threat meaning they

also no longer view Israel as the enemy

of their enemy despite vast differences

in ideology and geopolitical goals

between the regimes of Iran Russia and

the People's Republic of China

all seemingly share one common belief

that the days of a unipolar world order

dominated by the United States that

began after the end of the Cold War in

1992 is beginning to come to an end for

its entire existence ever since the

Islamic revolution of 1979 the Iranian

clergy has been determined to undermine

the American-led world order wherever

and whenever it possibly can because

The United States is perceived in Tehran as

the Ultimate Force standing in the way

of their ultimate foreign policy

objectives which are the unification of

all Muslims worldwide beneath a single

Authority led by the clergy and the

destruction of Israel Russia similarly

views its war in Ukraine as a fight

against nato in the United States as

Moscow seeks to expand Russia's borders

and control across the Eurasian step and

across the former Soviet Bloc that NATO

has been gradually expanding for a while

China similarly views the United States

as the greatest Force standing in the

way of their ultimate foreign policy

the objective of finishing the Chinese Civil

War once and for all by establishing the

Communist Party's Authority over Taiwan

and in so doing finally reversing

China's Century of humiliation delivered

by the Western Powers Iran will support

anybody's fight anywhere in the world

that they perceive to be undermining the

United States AS Global Authority and

legitimacy and for now that

the fight is taking place on the

battlefields in Ukraine so ultimately

despite Iran and Russia's long history

of warfare betrayals and conflicting

interests through basically all of their

history up until 1992 and so long as

they each continue to view the United

States as their shared greater enemy

standing in the way of their very

different goals around the world the

Russians and Iranians are likely to

continue pushing ever closer into

a relationship that more and more

resembles a full-blown military alliance

with every passing day, it's already been

playing out in Syria for years one of

the largest most geopolitically complex

and most horrific conflicts of the

entire 21st century that is at the

epicenter of the Russian-Aronian

relationship and the clash between

themselves and the United States

Mystery

About the Creator

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