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Why Putin Loses In His Own Game

He’s digging his own hole

By Arnas MikonisPublished 4 years ago 3 min read
Free to use (CC0)

Introduction

After Putin took power in 2000, Russia’s foreign politics was a headache for the world, especially for its smaller neighbors. Russia holds the largest natural resources which are necessary for both the neighbors and the world. Only, for this reason, Putin continues to play his Tsarist games. First, we need to understand that his foreign political views are built on long Russia’s history.

Russia’s History

Russia’s founding place was terrible. The old Russia was in plains surrounded by plains. No mountains or seas protected Russia from invaders. Rivers couldn’t help much, as it’s easy to cross them if necessary. And there weren’t enough rivers either way. Having no natural borders which could defend Russia from invaders meant they could be easily conquered. And Russia was conquered. The Mongolian empire which expanded from Korea to Poland enforced its rule on the Russian people. After a while, the Russian people had enough. The economy boomed in what is today’s Moscow, and now they knew how to use European guns with gunpowder. After being humiliated for years, the Russian people fought back and won.

Being humiliated once, Russia said, “Never again.” At first, they thought the Ural Mountains would be enough. They were long and uncrossable and seemed to be a good border. But they weren’t long enough. The Ural Mountains have a “gap” that Mongols used to get to conquer Russia in the first place. So, Ivan The Terrible commanded them to expand further, they expanded so much they reached the Pacific ocean. Ivan’s army met little resistance. The Tsarist Imperialism offered to be controlled by the tsar or to be killed by him.

How Putin Plays

Putin considers himself to be a tsar. He even has a tsarist emblem on his palace. What was once offered to nations in Siberia, right now is demanded from Ukraine. Negotiations between NATO and Russia began, but it’s ridiculous how contradictory Putin’s views are. At the same time, Russia claims that NATO is the aggressor, and Russia is merely defending its borders. Firstly, NATO is expanding because there’s a reason for it. Countries that would like to join NATO because they feel pressured to do so. Knowing Russia’s interventionist/expansionist geopolitics smaller countries would feel safer within NATO. Secondly, Russia demanded the U.S. and other NATO members obey Russia.

If Russia is portrayed by Putin as a victim, it’s ridiculous what Putin wants from the west. According to Putin, for peace to remain — former Soviet Union members wouldn’t be allowed to join NATO. This would impossible for NATO, as NATO follows an open-door policy. And it would require a complete restructuring of the whole NATO. Other demands prohibit the U.S. from having military bases outside its national territories. But it does permit Russia to deploy its own military forces outside Russia’s borders. It’s contradictory and Putin knows NATO wouldn’t accept his proposals. Therefore, Russia will act, and if asked why, Russia will respond as NATO failed to remain peaceful.

If we had to compare NATO and Putin’s forces, there’s no doubt NATO is by far stronger. In case of conflict, Russia’s economy would plummet as massive sanctions would be put on Russia. But if Putin won’t attack Ukraine, he will make a fool out of himself as all of his threats will mean nothing. As Putin is tormented by his inferiority complex, he can sacrifice both economy and people’s lives to receive the validation he desperately needs.

How should NATO respond?

For too many years NATO did everything to maintain peace. While it’s honorable for NATO to try “keeping up with insane demands of Putin”, it’s time to remind him which alliance is stronger. NATO should not fear expanding further if necessary and be able to defend itself from foreign invaders.

It’s often the case that Russia is the one who’s demanding. The more the west kept up with Putin’s demands, the more Russia demanded. So far we know this strategy hasn’t worked and NATO should be the one demanding. If Russia can ask to demilitarize NATO members for made-up reasons we can demand the demilitarization of the Kaliningrad and Russo-Ukrainian border.

It’s obvious Putin won’t comply but offers to maintain peace from the West would be offered. Of course, Russia’s propaganda will make the situation a lot different than reality is, but NATO should consider asking for more. It’s time for Putin to taste his own medicine.

politics

About the Creator

Arnas Mikonis

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