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Mexico Evaporative Cooling Market Size and Forecast 2025–2033

Energy-Efficient Cooling Rises as Mexico Faces Intensifying Heatwaves and Higher Electricity Costs

By Ben TomPublished about a month ago 6 min read

Introduction

The Mexico Evaporative Cooling Market is moving into a new phase of accelerated growth as the nation battles rising temperatures, intensifying heatwaves, and soaring electricity costs. According to the latest Renub Research estimates, the market is expected to expand from US$ 134.75 million in 2024 to US$ 226.31 million by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 5.93% during the forecast period.

This surge reflects a structural shift in consumer and industrial cooling preferences—away from high-energy conventional HVAC systems and toward eco-friendly, low-cost, and energy-efficient evaporative cooling solutions. The technology is particularly well suited for Mexico’s semi-arid and arid regions, which dominate the northern and central parts of the country. As the country’s construction boom continues and sustainability directives strengthen, evaporative cooling is becoming a preferred choice for homes, industries, and commercial establishments alike.

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Mexico Evaporative Cooling Market Overview

Evaporative cooling works on a simple and natural principle. As hot air passes over water-soaked pads, the water evaporates, absorbing heat and lowering the air temperature. Unlike traditional air conditioners, evaporative coolers consume far less electricity and do not rely on harmful refrigerants. This makes them particularly attractive in a global climate where sustainability, affordability, and energy conservation are top priorities.

In Mexico, the dry climate found in Sonora, Chihuahua, Nuevo León, Coahuila, Baja California, and parts of central Mexico provides ideal operational conditions. Industries, retail warehouses, and homes are increasingly adopting evaporative coolers to combat extreme heat while minimizing electricity costs. Rising awareness of the environmental impact of refrigerant-based cooling and government initiatives promoting energy-efficient technologies are further accelerating adoption.

With weather patterns becoming more erratic and temperatures rising annually, evaporative cooling is no longer an alternative—it is becoming a necessity in many regions across the country.

Key Market Drivers

1. Extreme Hot and Dry Weather in Northern & Central Mexico

Mexico’s climate is characterized by sharp regional variations, but its northern and central zones experience long, intense dry seasons, making evaporative cooling particularly effective.

Cities like Monterrey, Guadalajara, Hermosillo, Torreón, and Chihuahua routinely experience scorching temperatures. Climate extremes continue to intensify:

Northern Mexico can reach 50°C (123°F)—as recorded in Baja California in September.

Winter lows in the north can fall to -15°C in mountainous areas like Chihuahua.

Humidity levels swing drastically—from 42% in June in Sonora to 91% in October in Hidalgo.

This wide climatic range underscores the urgent need for reliable, energy-efficient cooling—something evaporative systems are uniquely positioned to provide. As heatwaves become more frequent due to climate change, demand is projected to rise sharply through 2033.

2. Rising Interest in Energy-Efficient, Environmentally Friendly Cooling Solutions

Mexican consumers and industries are paying closer attention to sustainability. Traditional HVAC systems consume high amounts of electricity and depend on refrigerants that pose environmental risks. In contrast, evaporative coolers use up to 75% less electricity and operate without chemical refrigerants.

Additionally:

Mexico is pushing toward greener policies and improved energy efficiency standards.

Electricity prices continue to rise, making low-energy cooling alternatives more appealing.

Businesses and households are actively seeking ways to reduce carbon footprints.

A notable industry move came in January 2024, when LG Electronics launched a new scroll compressor manufacturing line in Monterrey, Nuevo León. This expansion supports future refrigerant regulations and aligns with sustainable HVAC solutions across North America. The focus on low-GWP (<700) refrigerants reflects a broader shift toward eco-friendly cooling, indirectly supporting the adoption of evaporative systems as greener alternatives.

3. Growth in Construction, Real Estate, and Retail Infrastructure

Mexico’s construction boom—measured in new residential projects, industrial facilities, and commercial spaces—is a key contributor to evaporative cooling adoption. Large structures such as warehouses, malls, factories, and supermarkets require efficient and cost-effective cooling systems, particularly in regions with dry weather conditions.

Builders and developers increasingly integrate:

Direct evaporative cooling units

Hybrid cooling systems

Energy-efficient ventilation solutions

Retail expansion, dominated by chains like Walmart, Soriana, and Home Depot, also drives demand. Their large floor areas, high footfall, and operating cost sensitivity make evaporative coolers an ideal match for comfort and energy savings.

Challenges in the Market

Despite strong growth potential, several challenges continue to restrain nationwide adoption.

1. Limited Effectiveness in Humid Regions

Evaporative cooling systems work best in climates with low humidity. Southern and coastal regions—such as Yucatán, Veracruz, and Oaxaca—are more humid, making evaporative systems less effective.

This limits the market’s penetration and makes conventional HVAC systems more reliable options in those regions. Manufacturers are exploring hybrid models and humidity-resistant systems, but widespread adoption remains slow.

2. Lack of Awareness and Consumer Misconceptions

Many Mexican consumers still associate cooling exclusively with air conditioners. Misconceptions persist regarding:

Maintenance needs

Cooling performance

Suitability for residential environments

These awareness gaps hinder growth in rural and mid-income urban households. More educational campaigns, pilot installations, and retailer-led demonstrations are needed to unlock the market’s full potential.

Market Breakdown by Type, Application & Region

Direct Evaporative Cooling Dominates the Market

Direct evaporative cooling systems hold the largest market share due to:

Low installation costs

Ease of maintenance

High efficiency in arid climates

Suitability for large spaces (factories, workshops, warehouses)

With industries increasingly prioritizing sustainability, direct cooling systems will continue to lead the market through 2033.

Residential Evaporative Cooling: A Rapidly Growing Segment

Mexico’s residential sector—especially in dry regions—is witnessing strong demand growth. Factors driving adoption include:

Rising electricity prices

Urbanization

Affordable portable and window-mounted coolers

Green home initiatives

Middle-income households and new housing developments are now integrating low-energy cooling solutions as part of climate-resilient infrastructure.

Industrial Evaporative Cooling: A Key Revenue Driver

Factories and warehouses across northern Mexico rely heavily on evaporative cooling. Benefits include:

Improved worker comfort

Reduced heat stress

Lower energy bills

Compliance with energy-efficiency norms

Manufacturing hubs in Nuevo León, Chihuahua, Coahuila, and Sonora are the largest adopters, given their harsh dry climates and high industrial density.

Big-Box Retailers: A Fast-Expanding Commercial Application

Retail environments are integrating evaporative cooling due to:

Large open spaces

Long operating hours

Customer comfort needs

Pressure to reduce energy expenditures

Sustainability goals and ESG compliance (Environmental, Social, Governance) further support the use of evaporative systems in commercial sectors.

Regional Analysis

Northern Mexico: The Market Leader

States: Chihuahua, Sonora, Nuevo León, Baja California, Coahuila

Extremely hot and dry climate

Dense industrial networks

Strong cross-border trade with U.S.

Fast-paced construction and manufacturing expansion

These conditions make northern Mexico the powerhouse of the evaporative cooling market.

Central Mexico: A Growing Opportunity

States: Mexico City, Jalisco (Guadalajara), Querétaro, Guanajuato

While more moderate than the north, central Mexico experiences dry seasons where evaporative coolers work efficiently. Rising population density and high energy costs drive increasing adoption in:

Homes

Small businesses

Retail stores

The region offers a strong opportunity for expansion between 2025 and 2033.

Southern Mexico: A Niche But Emerging Market

States: Oaxaca, Chiapas, Yucatán, Veracruz

High humidity limits performance, but there is emerging demand in:

Semi-arid pockets

High-altitude communities

Schools and public institutions

Hybrid evaporative–ventilation systems

Future innovations—especially humidity-resistant models—could help manufacturers capture this untapped segment.

Market Segmentation

By Cooling Type

Direct Evaporative Cooling

Indirect Evaporative Cooling

Two-stage Evaporative Cooling

By Application

Residential

Commercial

Industrial

Confinement Farming

Others

By Distribution Channel

Big-box Retailers

HVAC Contractors & Distributors

Others

By Region

Northern Mexico

Central Mexico

Southern Mexico

Others

Key Players Covered (with Five Viewpoints)

Honeywell International Inc.

Munters Group

Phoenix Manufacturing Inc.

Bonaire Heating & Cooling

Celsius Design Limited

Colt Group Limited

Condair Group AG

(Each company evaluated by Overview, Key Person, Recent Developments, SWOT Analysis, Revenue Analysis)

Final Thoughts

As Mexico prepares for another decade of more extreme heat and rising energy expenditures, the evaporative cooling market is positioned for strong, sustained growth through 2033. With a projected value of US$ 226.31 million, the sector will benefit from:

Climate-driven necessity

Sustainability mandates

Construction and industrial expansion

Greater public awareness

The technology’s affordability and eco-friendliness make it a critical part of Mexico’s future cooling landscape. While humidity challenges persist in southern regions, innovation and hybrid systems are gradually removing barriers.

The next few years will determine how widely evaporative cooling becomes integrated into Mexico’s homes, industries, and commercial spaces—but the growth trajectory is unmistakably upward.

technology

About the Creator

Ben Tom

Ben Tom is a seasoned content writer with 12+ years of experience creating SEO-friendly blogs, web copy, and marketing content that boosts visibility, engages audiences, and drives results.

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  • The best writer about a month ago

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