Mexico Evaporative Cooling Market Size and Forecast 2025–2033
Energy-Efficient Cooling Rises as Mexico Faces Intensifying Heatwaves and Higher Electricity Costs

Introduction
The Mexico Evaporative Cooling Market is moving into a new phase of accelerated growth as the nation battles rising temperatures, intensifying heatwaves, and soaring electricity costs. According to the latest Renub Research estimates, the market is expected to expand from US$ 134.75 million in 2024 to US$ 226.31 million by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 5.93% during the forecast period.
This surge reflects a structural shift in consumer and industrial cooling preferences—away from high-energy conventional HVAC systems and toward eco-friendly, low-cost, and energy-efficient evaporative cooling solutions. The technology is particularly well suited for Mexico’s semi-arid and arid regions, which dominate the northern and central parts of the country. As the country’s construction boom continues and sustainability directives strengthen, evaporative cooling is becoming a preferred choice for homes, industries, and commercial establishments alike.
Mexico Evaporative Cooling Market Overview
Evaporative cooling works on a simple and natural principle. As hot air passes over water-soaked pads, the water evaporates, absorbing heat and lowering the air temperature. Unlike traditional air conditioners, evaporative coolers consume far less electricity and do not rely on harmful refrigerants. This makes them particularly attractive in a global climate where sustainability, affordability, and energy conservation are top priorities.
In Mexico, the dry climate found in Sonora, Chihuahua, Nuevo León, Coahuila, Baja California, and parts of central Mexico provides ideal operational conditions. Industries, retail warehouses, and homes are increasingly adopting evaporative coolers to combat extreme heat while minimizing electricity costs. Rising awareness of the environmental impact of refrigerant-based cooling and government initiatives promoting energy-efficient technologies are further accelerating adoption.
With weather patterns becoming more erratic and temperatures rising annually, evaporative cooling is no longer an alternative—it is becoming a necessity in many regions across the country.
Key Market Drivers
1. Extreme Hot and Dry Weather in Northern & Central Mexico
Mexico’s climate is characterized by sharp regional variations, but its northern and central zones experience long, intense dry seasons, making evaporative cooling particularly effective.
Cities like Monterrey, Guadalajara, Hermosillo, Torreón, and Chihuahua routinely experience scorching temperatures. Climate extremes continue to intensify:
Northern Mexico can reach 50°C (123°F)—as recorded in Baja California in September.
Winter lows in the north can fall to -15°C in mountainous areas like Chihuahua.
Humidity levels swing drastically—from 42% in June in Sonora to 91% in October in Hidalgo.
This wide climatic range underscores the urgent need for reliable, energy-efficient cooling—something evaporative systems are uniquely positioned to provide. As heatwaves become more frequent due to climate change, demand is projected to rise sharply through 2033.
2. Rising Interest in Energy-Efficient, Environmentally Friendly Cooling Solutions
Mexican consumers and industries are paying closer attention to sustainability. Traditional HVAC systems consume high amounts of electricity and depend on refrigerants that pose environmental risks. In contrast, evaporative coolers use up to 75% less electricity and operate without chemical refrigerants.
Additionally:
Mexico is pushing toward greener policies and improved energy efficiency standards.
Electricity prices continue to rise, making low-energy cooling alternatives more appealing.
Businesses and households are actively seeking ways to reduce carbon footprints.
A notable industry move came in January 2024, when LG Electronics launched a new scroll compressor manufacturing line in Monterrey, Nuevo León. This expansion supports future refrigerant regulations and aligns with sustainable HVAC solutions across North America. The focus on low-GWP (<700) refrigerants reflects a broader shift toward eco-friendly cooling, indirectly supporting the adoption of evaporative systems as greener alternatives.
3. Growth in Construction, Real Estate, and Retail Infrastructure
Mexico’s construction boom—measured in new residential projects, industrial facilities, and commercial spaces—is a key contributor to evaporative cooling adoption. Large structures such as warehouses, malls, factories, and supermarkets require efficient and cost-effective cooling systems, particularly in regions with dry weather conditions.
Builders and developers increasingly integrate:
Direct evaporative cooling units
Hybrid cooling systems
Energy-efficient ventilation solutions
Retail expansion, dominated by chains like Walmart, Soriana, and Home Depot, also drives demand. Their large floor areas, high footfall, and operating cost sensitivity make evaporative coolers an ideal match for comfort and energy savings.
Challenges in the Market
Despite strong growth potential, several challenges continue to restrain nationwide adoption.
1. Limited Effectiveness in Humid Regions
Evaporative cooling systems work best in climates with low humidity. Southern and coastal regions—such as Yucatán, Veracruz, and Oaxaca—are more humid, making evaporative systems less effective.
This limits the market’s penetration and makes conventional HVAC systems more reliable options in those regions. Manufacturers are exploring hybrid models and humidity-resistant systems, but widespread adoption remains slow.
2. Lack of Awareness and Consumer Misconceptions
Many Mexican consumers still associate cooling exclusively with air conditioners. Misconceptions persist regarding:
Maintenance needs
Cooling performance
Suitability for residential environments
These awareness gaps hinder growth in rural and mid-income urban households. More educational campaigns, pilot installations, and retailer-led demonstrations are needed to unlock the market’s full potential.
Market Breakdown by Type, Application & Region
Direct Evaporative Cooling Dominates the Market
Direct evaporative cooling systems hold the largest market share due to:
Low installation costs
Ease of maintenance
High efficiency in arid climates
Suitability for large spaces (factories, workshops, warehouses)
With industries increasingly prioritizing sustainability, direct cooling systems will continue to lead the market through 2033.
Residential Evaporative Cooling: A Rapidly Growing Segment
Mexico’s residential sector—especially in dry regions—is witnessing strong demand growth. Factors driving adoption include:
Rising electricity prices
Urbanization
Affordable portable and window-mounted coolers
Green home initiatives
Middle-income households and new housing developments are now integrating low-energy cooling solutions as part of climate-resilient infrastructure.
Industrial Evaporative Cooling: A Key Revenue Driver
Factories and warehouses across northern Mexico rely heavily on evaporative cooling. Benefits include:
Improved worker comfort
Reduced heat stress
Lower energy bills
Compliance with energy-efficiency norms
Manufacturing hubs in Nuevo León, Chihuahua, Coahuila, and Sonora are the largest adopters, given their harsh dry climates and high industrial density.
Big-Box Retailers: A Fast-Expanding Commercial Application
Retail environments are integrating evaporative cooling due to:
Large open spaces
Long operating hours
Customer comfort needs
Pressure to reduce energy expenditures
Sustainability goals and ESG compliance (Environmental, Social, Governance) further support the use of evaporative systems in commercial sectors.
Regional Analysis
Northern Mexico: The Market Leader
States: Chihuahua, Sonora, Nuevo León, Baja California, Coahuila
Extremely hot and dry climate
Dense industrial networks
Strong cross-border trade with U.S.
Fast-paced construction and manufacturing expansion
These conditions make northern Mexico the powerhouse of the evaporative cooling market.
Central Mexico: A Growing Opportunity
States: Mexico City, Jalisco (Guadalajara), Querétaro, Guanajuato
While more moderate than the north, central Mexico experiences dry seasons where evaporative coolers work efficiently. Rising population density and high energy costs drive increasing adoption in:
Homes
Small businesses
Retail stores
The region offers a strong opportunity for expansion between 2025 and 2033.
Southern Mexico: A Niche But Emerging Market
States: Oaxaca, Chiapas, Yucatán, Veracruz
High humidity limits performance, but there is emerging demand in:
Semi-arid pockets
High-altitude communities
Schools and public institutions
Hybrid evaporative–ventilation systems
Future innovations—especially humidity-resistant models—could help manufacturers capture this untapped segment.
Market Segmentation
By Cooling Type
Direct Evaporative Cooling
Indirect Evaporative Cooling
Two-stage Evaporative Cooling
By Application
Residential
Commercial
Industrial
Confinement Farming
Others
By Distribution Channel
Big-box Retailers
HVAC Contractors & Distributors
Others
By Region
Northern Mexico
Central Mexico
Southern Mexico
Others
Key Players Covered (with Five Viewpoints)
Honeywell International Inc.
Munters Group
Phoenix Manufacturing Inc.
Bonaire Heating & Cooling
Celsius Design Limited
Colt Group Limited
Condair Group AG
(Each company evaluated by Overview, Key Person, Recent Developments, SWOT Analysis, Revenue Analysis)
Final Thoughts
As Mexico prepares for another decade of more extreme heat and rising energy expenditures, the evaporative cooling market is positioned for strong, sustained growth through 2033. With a projected value of US$ 226.31 million, the sector will benefit from:
Climate-driven necessity
Sustainability mandates
Construction and industrial expansion
Greater public awareness
The technology’s affordability and eco-friendliness make it a critical part of Mexico’s future cooling landscape. While humidity challenges persist in southern regions, innovation and hybrid systems are gradually removing barriers.
The next few years will determine how widely evaporative cooling becomes integrated into Mexico’s homes, industries, and commercial spaces—but the growth trajectory is unmistakably upward.
About the Creator
Ben Tom
Ben Tom is a seasoned content writer with 12+ years of experience creating SEO-friendly blogs, web copy, and marketing content that boosts visibility, engages audiences, and drives results.



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