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Inflation in Pakistan

Inflation in Pakistan is more than a buzzword; it is a grave reality for most Pakistanis.

By Bella ClumPublished 9 months ago 3 min read
Photo by Katharina Kammermann on Unsplash

Inflation in Pakistan is more than a buzzword; it is a grave reality for most Pakistanis. The rising costs are becoming a daily struggle, a kitchen table crisis, and a constant threat to the country’s fragile economy. Increasing fuel and transport costs, skyrocketing costs of basic grocery, and the constant squeeze of energy bills has now made life very difficult and complex for the average countryman.

Inflation in Pakistan – An Alarming Situation

When we consider the current inflation in Pakistan, the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics puts it as 21.9% (year on year) as of March 2025. While the current figure is better than the 38% from May 2023, the repercussions from the spike still continue. The dollar to PKR rate went from PKR 178 = USD 1 in 2022 to PKR 296 = USD 1 in 2024. The consequences for the masses have been unbearable. The prices of everyday commodities have gone up massively, making even the basics unattainable for the common man.

Inflation in Pakistan is not just a figure to be quoted – it is the indicator of a crisis. As per figures from the World Bank, more than 39% of the country’s population lives below the poverty line. This means that millions of people are now scrimping on meals, pulling children out of educational institutes, and making impossible choices between accessing healthcare or housing.

Causes of Inflation in Pakistan

While there are external factors that have also impacted the inflation in Pakistan (such as the Russia-Ukraine crisis), the internal factors far outweigh them. The causes of inflation in Pakistan basically boil down to the mismanagement of the country’s people and resources – something that has been going on for decades. Political instability, corruption, and short-term decision making has caused the country to exist in a downward spiral for years.

For instance, in 2023, the government suddenly increased the petrol price to PKR 282/litre – not because of some log term proactive reforms, but to meet the IMF’s demand to get another bailout package. As part of the same set of conditions, electricity prices and taxes were also increased. A general indicator of the country’s progress is the GDP, and to no surprise, Pakistan’s GDP grew by only 1.5% in FY2024.

Effects of Inflation in Pakistan

To curb inflation, The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) increased the interest rates to a record 22%. However, that only made sense on paper. In reality, it stalled growth and made it increasingly difficult for small businesses to register and operate – crushing the backbone of the country’s economy.

Moreover, because of the inflation all input and transport costs skyrocketed and purchasing power shrank. Many small and medium businesses could not stay afloat and had to shut down – which caused increasing unemployment and lawlessness. The hardest hit were the informal sector workers who make up the majority of the Pakistani labour force. Urban unemployment reached a high of almost 12% - with the youth unemployment being even higher. As of June 2024, Pakistanis between the ages of 15-24 had the highest unemployment rate of 11.1%, followed by 7.3% among 25-34 bracket.

Current Government Strategy to Fight Inflation in Pakistan

The government does not have a cohesive strategy to deal with inflation. Instead of working on tax reforms, growing exports, local manufacturing, or creating a conducive environment for businesses, the government is still looking to borrow money from financial institutions and other countries, banning imports and increasing duties, and expanding unsustainable subsidy programs which focus on handouts for the less fortunate (instead of building their capacities to earn themselves).

Practical Solutions to Fight Inflation in Pakistan

The government must focus on creating a smooth and safe political and security situation in the country and curb the current lawlessness. This will create a conducive environment for businesses to grow and thrive. Moreover, the government must introduce reforms and laws that will create a more profitable environment for local food producers and manufactures so that the local economy booms. Additionally, a progressive tax system and targeted social spending would help stabilize the economy overall.

Conclusion

Pakistan does not lack potential, manpower, and resources. It only lacks sincere people in the right positions, planning, consistency, and a focus on safety and security. Reactive policy making is not the solution – the country needs comprehensive and well thought out short-, medium-, and long-term plans that focus on sustainable growth.

About the author:

Aleena Imran has an MBA from NUST and has worked as an HR professional at companies like MPCL, Coke, Jazz, and LMKT. In her spare time, she runs her home-based baking business. Apart from being an avid reader, she enjoys writing, photography, and art.

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