Farage: Will He, Won't He?

Nigel Farage has said publicly he would never do a deal with Kemi Badenoch's Conservative Party. The reason he gives is that he feels betrayed by the Conservative Party. Boris Johnson won the 2019 general election, and the Brexit Party (now Reform UK) stood down candidates in order for the Conservatives to win seats. Farage backed Boris because Johnson said he was going to get "Brexit done", as Farage wanted to get Brexit done too. However, Johnson's Brexit deal wasn't the deal that Farage signed up for. Hence, Farage said publicly, "No deal with the Conservatives"!!!

Some Tories (Conservatives) and Reform UK members, MPs, etc, if they go up against each other at a future general election, fear splitting the right-wing vote. Thus allowing Labour back into power in 2029. So, that is why many in both parties want a pact of some kind. So, they could show a united front to voters. So teaming up would hopefully catapult them both into power. Kemi Badenoch, like Farage, has ruled out doing a deal with Reform UK at least in public.

A fear for Nigel Farage, however, is that he may fall short of an overall majority because of the UK's "First Past The Post" system of voting. Then he may try to rule as a minority government, or he would have to cobble together some kind of coalition government. Farage would definitely not want to work with Labour, even if they have moved to the right. So the next option would be to do a deal with the Conservatives.

So even though the Tories and Reform UK rule out deals. In a backroom somewhere, negotiations may be ongoing for such a deal. On the other hand, as I have shown, reasons may present themselves which will force Farage and Badenoch to do a deal.

The Financial Times has a source that quoted Nigel Farage as willing to do a deal with the Conservatives. This source said Nigel Farage told donors that he believes an agreement with the Tories is inevitable. Following up on this, the FT quoted Farage saying he does not believe he can attain power on his own. So if this statement is to be believed, Farage is open in private to making an agreement.

Nigel Farage has stated that if it came down to it, a deal with the Conservatives would be done on his terms. As stated earlier, Nigel Farage feels betrayed by the Conservatives. If you want to know why he feels betrayed, read back where I wrote in this article how Boris didn't deliver total Brexit in the way Nigel wanted.

Personally, I voted for Brexit for Britain to leave the European Union. At the time, I didn't give it much thought, which certainly isn't like me. If I could have my vote over again, I would vote for the UK to stay in the European Union. Even those ardent Brexiteers who voted for leave have changed their minds as Britain has gone down the pan.

However, Nigel Farage has stated that Britain isn't working because the Brexit deal as done by Boris has created this climate of Britain going to hell in a handcart. Either way, the UK, like many countries in the Western world, is not what it was.

Right now, in the polls, Reform UK is way ahead of its nearest right-wing sister party, the Conservatives. Labour is second, but Sir Keir Starmer has gone from a figure of hope to a figure of hatred. Many left-wing Labour supporters have shifted to Zack Polanski's Green Party, whose stated goal is to replace the Labour Party. The Conservatives are at an all-time low, and Kemi Badenoch has done nothing to revive Tory fortunes.

So in the end, because Nigel Farage might not have enough votes to gain power and Kemi Badenoch is struggling to make a dent in politics, an agreement might be in both their interests, watch this space!!!