Bitcoin to Skyrocket? Why Hayes Thinks $100K Is Just Around the Corner
Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes points to Treasury buybacks and macro trends as key drivers behind Bitcoin’s next explosive move.
Bitcoin to $100,000? Arthur Hayes Warns This Might Be Your Last Chance to Buy Below That Mark
Up to $100,000 in Bitcoin? Arthur Hayes warns that this may be your last opportunity to purchase below that price. Bitcoin is once again at the forefront of financial headlines, pushing past $87,000 and reigniting conversations about whether six-figure territory is next. Arthur Hayes, co-founder and former CEO of BitMEX, is one of the loudest crypto voices. He has issued a bold warning to investors: this may be the last chance to buy Bitcoin for less than $100,000. Hayes, who is well-known for his candid opinions and profound comprehension of macroeconomics, recently expressed his optimism regarding Bitcoin on X, which was previously Twitter. His message was clear: Bitcoin will benefit greatly from an economic wave that is about to hit the market.
The "Bazooka" That Could Lift Bitcoin
The catalyst, according to Hayes, is the upcoming U.S. Treasury buybacks are a new financial strategy that hasn't been used in over two decades. The Treasury's plan is basically to buy back older bonds, which will give the financial system more liquidity. Hayes compared this policy to a "bazooka" pointed directly at Bitcoin, implying that it could pump billions of dollars into crypto and other risk assets. Such buybacks are intended to control interest rate volatility and stabilize debt markets in conventional financial systems. However, when combined with an environment that is already rife with fiat printing and loose monetary policy, they have the potential to exacerbate concerns about inflation and undermine trust in centralized fiat currencies. Decentralized assets like Bitcoin stand to gain significantly in this scenario. Hayes sees the Treasury's liquidity injection as an unofficial continuation of quantitative easing, a covert strategy that works to the advantage of hard assets. Bitcoin's limited supply and decentralized nature make it increasingly appealing to investors looking to safeguard their wealth from price erosion.
From $87K to $100K—And Beyond?
As a result of growing institutional adoption, the approval of Bitcoin ETFs, and rising public awareness, Bitcoin has already experienced significant gains this year. While price retracements are part of the game, many analysts agree with Hayes that a surge past $100,000 is within reach—and perhaps imminent.
Hayes isn't the only one who is optimistic. Timothy Peterson, an economist and Bitcoin analyst, recently projected that Bitcoin could hit $138,000 within the next three months. His model is based on a historical correlation between Bitcoin and high-yield bond interest rates. Bitcoin has surged significantly each time these bonds spike. According to Peterson, the current economic conditions mirror those moments that preceded major upward moves in Bitcoin’s history.
The halving event, which occurred in April 2024, has been cited as a long-term driver of price appreciation by other analysts. The block reward was reduced from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC as a result of the halving, which slowed the rate at which new Bitcoins were issued. Historically, Bitcoin halvings have triggered bull runs, with prices often reaching new all-time highs in the 12–18 months that follow.
FOMO or Fundamentals?
The idea that Bitcoin could rise to $100,000 and beyond may sound like yet another hype cycle to skeptics. However, supporters contend that this time is unique. The current market dynamic includes major institutional players, sovereign wealth funds, and regulated products like Bitcoin spot ETFs, in contrast to previous runs that were largely driven by retail speculation. The narrative surrounding Bitcoin is being altered by this institutional validation. Bitcoin, which was once thought of as a speculative asset, is now increasingly seen as "digital gold," a protection against currency devaluation and economic uncertainty. However, optimism comes with risk. Bitcoin is still a volatile asset, so sudden downturns are possible. Before investing, investors should conduct their own research and consider their risk tolerance. However, Hayes's warning may feel more like a call to action than a scare tactic to those who believe in the long-term story of decentralized finance and Bitcoin as a store of value.
A Turning Point in Crypto History?
We may be at a historic financial crossroads if Hayes and his fellow bulls are correct. The convergence of monetary policy shifts, geopolitical instability, institutional adoption, technological innovation, and institutional adoption is preparing the ground for a potential valuation explosion for Bitcoin. One thing is certain: the landscape is undergoing change, regardless of whether Bitcoin reaches $100,000 within the next month or takes its time. Arthur Hayes says that if you haven't joined yet, this might be your last chance to buy for less than six figures.

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