politics
Political figures, histories, and current events in the whole scope of modern and past politics. Work place politics.
Analysis GeoPolitics 2023
Each right uh let's shift motifs now uh on commodity that will probably be on the minds of leaders across the globe the biggest pitfalls our world is facing in 2023. we are participating a new list from the Eurasia group the political threat exploration and consulting establishment so at number three what they call Munitions of Mass dislocation that's technology like artificial intelligence that can undermine trust and republic at number two maximum she they say Chinese leader she's unexampled power in his own country could lead to dangerous miscalculations and the number said and the report says the number one threat is guileful Russia how it acts major pitfalls to the United States Europe and Beyond the chairman and author of Eurasia group Ian Bremer joins us now to bandy Ian good to see you good morning so uh let's talk about this the lat in this time last time the war between Russia and Ukraine was weeks down now guileful Russia you are saying your report is saying is the number one trouble why hasn't Russia's failure in the Ukraine war lowered that trouble that it poses no the failure is adding the threat because Russia is getting the world's most important Rogue State they're lowered dramatically as a global power Putin could not indeed show up at the G20 because he was going to be insulated and embarrassed by all of these other world leaders but there is no way for him to back down um I mean it's not like he can go to the status said oh my mistake no no NATO's formerly expanded Ukraine's much stronger the Europeans have formerly cut them off in terms of gas flows you got to make those channels someplace differently it'll take a decade so any way you look at it Putin is an incredibly delicate position but he is got 6 000 news so what's he going to do if he can't continue the war in Ukraine he is going to take it someplace and decreasingly what that means is the war is going to hit NATO it's going to be asymmetric attacks like Espionage and uh like cyber attacks channel fiber Russia thinks that they have been fighting NATO for the last time NATO has said no no the war is in Ukraine decreasingly it's going to be hard to keep that in the box that has to be the top threat that we are facing this time speaking of that war in Ukraine how do you anticipate it ending yeah I wish we could anticipated ending um you know Ukraine has had the last time their GDP has has contracted by 40 Russia has only been four percent Russia's decreasingly going to see their own frugality take the kind of hit that Iran has been taking another lower guileful state in the Middle East for the last decade um what that means is that Russia doesn't have a service that is able of continuing to fight and win the war in Ukraine rather they are going to be seen by NATO as the top Danger on the global stage but that is not an end to the war right it's an expansion of the war I mean at least in 2022 we've all concentrated on zelenski The frippery of 44 million Ukrainian people right but but we have kept the war in Ukraine yeah in 2023 we are not going to be suitable to say that presently it's not a cold war with Russia it's really a hot war with Russia talking about China I mean the main tenet of Chinese governance is fastening on its internal politics and letting other companies other countries concentrate on their own Internal Affairs how do you suppose that China especially under Xi Jinping will will be a threat to the global geopolitical geography if it says that it's really wants to kind of do its own thing and let other countries do theirs the funny thing is the China threat is a little bit like the Russia threat in the sense that it centers on bone
By pasin corau3 years ago in Journal
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