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Enduring Tensions

The Root Causes and Evolution of the India-Pakistan Conflict

By JanatPublished 9 months ago 4 min read

The relationship between India and Pakistan has been one of the most complex and strained bilateral relationships in the modern world. Since their simultaneous emergence from the end of British colonial rule in 1947, the two nations have experienced multiple wars, ongoing border skirmishes, diplomatic breakdowns, and persistent mutual distrust. Understanding the root causes and the evolution of the India-Pakistan conflict requires a detailed look into history, politics, ideology, and regional dynamics.

Historical Background: The Seeds of Partition

The roots of the conflict trace back to the partition of British India in August 1947. The decision to partition was based on religious demographics: Hindu-majority areas formed India, and Muslim-majority areas formed Pakistan. However, the division was hurried, poorly planned, and marked by mass violence, resulting in the deaths of an estimated one to two million people and the displacement of over 14 million.

One of the most contentious outcomes of partition was the status of princely states, particularly Jammu and Kashmir. Although the region had a Muslim-majority population, its Hindu ruler, Maharaja Hari Singh, chose to accede to India. Pakistan rejected this, arguing that Kashmir should have joined it based on religious demographics. This dispute over Kashmir became, and remains, the principal bone of contention between the two countries.

The First Indo-Pak War (1947-1948)

The first armed conflict between India and Pakistan broke out soon after independence, centered on Kashmir. Tribal militias supported by Pakistan invaded the region, prompting the Maharaja to request military assistance from India. In exchange, he signed the Instrument of Accession to India. The war ended in 1949 with a United Nations-brokered ceasefire, creating the Line of Control (LoC) that divided Kashmir into Pakistani-controlled and Indian-controlled parts. However, no permanent political settlement was reached, ensuring that the issue would continue to fester.

Subsequent Wars and Conflicts

The Second Indo-Pak War (1965)

In 1965, Pakistan launched Operation Gibraltar, aiming to infiltrate forces into Indian-administered Kashmir to incite rebellion. India responded with full-scale military action. After intense fighting, the war ended in a stalemate, with both sides accepting a ceasefire brokered by the Soviet Union and the United States, leading to the Tashkent Agreement.

The Bangladesh Liberation War and the Third Indo-Pak War (1971)

Tensions escalated again in 1971, but this time, the cause was unrelated to Kashmir. Instead, it stemmed from Pakistan’s internal conflict between West Pakistan (modern-day Pakistan) and East Pakistan (modern-day Bangladesh). India supported the independence movement in East Pakistan, leading to a direct military conflict with Pakistan. The war ended with a decisive Indian victory and the creation of Bangladesh, deeply humiliating Pakistan and sowing long-lasting resentment.

The Kargil Conflict (1999)

In 1999, just months after both countries conducted nuclear tests, Pakistani soldiers and militants crossed the LoC and occupied strategic peaks in the Kargil district of Indian-administered Kashmir. India launched Operation Vijay to push back the intruders. After heavy fighting and international diplomatic pressure, Pakistan withdrew its forces. The Kargil War severely damaged any hope for peaceful resolution that had been nurtured by the Lahore Declaration earlier that year.

Nuclearization and Its Impact

Both India and Pakistan declared themselves nuclear powers in 1998, changing the stakes of their rivalry. While nuclear weapons have arguably deterred full-scale wars since then, they have also emboldened lower-intensity conflicts and terrorist acts, with each side calculating that the other would avoid escalation to full nuclear war.

The presence of nuclear weapons has introduced a strategic paradox: while both countries seek to avoid all-out war, incidents like the 2001 Indian Parliament attack, the 2008 Mumbai attacks, and repeated cross-border skirmishes in Kashmir test the limits of restraint.

The Kashmir Dispute: Core of the Conflict

Kashmir remains the symbolic and strategic heart of the India-Pakistan conflict. For Pakistan, Kashmir represents the unfinished business of partition and a rallying point for national identity. For India, Kashmir's integration affirms its secular credentials, given its Muslim-majority population within a Hindu-majority country.

The situation worsened in August 2019, when India revoked Article 370 of its Constitution, stripping Jammu and Kashmir of its special autonomy. Pakistan vehemently opposed the move, downgrading diplomatic ties and intensifying its international campaign against India’s Kashmir policy.

Terrorism and Proxy Warfare

Since the 1980s, Pakistan's use of militant groups to wage a proxy war in Kashmir and elsewhere in India has further entrenched hostilities. Groups like Lashkar-e-Taiba (responsible for the 2008 Mumbai attacks) and Jaish-e-Mohammed (linked to the 2019 Pulwama attack) have received varying degrees of support from Pakistani intelligence services, according to numerous international investigations.

India, in turn, has accused Pakistan of maintaining a "state policy of terrorism," while Pakistan claims that India supports insurgency in Balochistan and other restive areas.

Diplomatic Attempts and Failures

Over the decades, several peace initiatives have been launched:

The Simla Agreement (1972) emphasized peaceful resolution through bilateral negotiations.

The Agra Summit (2001) attempted to revive dialogue but collapsed.

The Composite Dialogue Process (2004-2008) showed promise but ended after the Mumbai attacks.

More recently, backchannel diplomacy and informal talks have aimed at confidence-building, though tangible progress has remained limited.

Each diplomatic overture tends to collapse under the weight of domestic political pressures, military brinkmanship, and lack of trust.

Current Dynamics and the Role of International Players

Today, the India-Pakistan conflict exists in a globalized, interconnected world where the stakes are higher. While major powers like the United States, China, and Russia have historically influenced the dynamics, their ability to mediate or exert pressure is limited.

China's growing ties with Pakistan, particularly through the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), add another layer of complexity. Meanwhile, India's rising global stature and economic power have given it greater leverage on the international stage.

Both nations face internal challenges—economic difficulties, religious extremism, political instability—that could either fuel further conflict or push them toward peace, depending on how leadership evolves.

Conclusion

The India-Pakistan conflict is deeply rooted in history but sustained by present-day politics, ideology, and national identity. Its evolution—from conventional wars to nuclear deterrence and proxy conflicts—shows the adaptability of this rivalry to changing times.

True peace would require not just political agreements but a transformation of societal attitudes, economic cooperation, and addressing the core issues, particularly Kashmir. While the path remains fraught with danger, the sheer cost of continued hostility offers a compelling reason for both sides to seek, someday, a durable peace.

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About the Creator

Janat

People read my topics because of thoughtful insights that bridge the gap between complex ideas and everyday understanding. I focus on real-world relevance,—making each read not just informative, but meaningful.

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