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Volodymyr Zelenskyy Calls for 50-Year U.S. Security Guarantee for Ukraine Amid Uncertain Peace Prospects

Zelenskyy pushes for long-term U.S. security assurances even as peace negotiations with Russia remain uncertain.

By Aarif LashariPublished 13 days ago 3 min read

As diplomatic efforts to end the war in Ukraine continue, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has made a powerful and far-reaching request: a 50-year security guarantee from the United States. The proposal comes at a time when talks between Kyiv and Washington appear more optimistic on the surface, yet offer little concrete evidence that peace is close.

While recent meetings between Zelenskyy and U.S. President Donald Trump have struck a more positive tone, major obstacles remain — particularly around long-term security, territorial issues, and Russia’s position.



Why Zelenskyy Is Pushing for a 50-Year Guarantee

At the heart of Zelenskyy’s proposal is a concern shaped by history. Ukraine has experienced repeated violations of its sovereignty, despite past assurances from global powers. The most notable example is the 1994 Budapest Memorandum, under which Ukraine gave up its nuclear arsenal in exchange for security assurances — promises that ultimately failed to prevent Russian aggression.

Zelenskyy argues that short-term guarantees are not enough. According to Kyiv, a 30-to-50-year U.S. commitment would serve as a genuine deterrent against future attacks and provide Ukraine with long-term stability.

In his view, peace without strong and lasting security measures would simply pause the conflict rather than resolve it.



Current Peace Talks: Optimistic Tone, Limited Progress

Recent talks between Trump and Zelenskyy in Florida were described by both sides as “productive” and “positive.” Trump suggested negotiations were moving closer to an agreement, while Zelenskyy highlighted progress on security discussions.

However, optimism has not translated into breakthroughs.

Key unresolved issues include:

The duration and strength of security guarantees

Territorial questions, including occupied regions

Russia’s acceptance of any proposed peace framework

Enforcement mechanisms if agreements are violated


Despite public confidence, officials on both sides have avoided providing timelines or specific details.



The U.S. Position: Shorter Commitments Preferred

While Ukraine is asking for a multi-decade guarantee, the current U.S. proposal reportedly includes around 15 years of security assurances, with the possibility of future extensions.

American officials describe these guarantees as “robust,” but they stop short of committing to something resembling NATO’s Article 5 protections. A 50-year agreement would likely require congressional approval and bipartisan political support — a significant challenge in the U.S. political landscape.

Trump himself has not rejected the idea outright but has offered no firm commitment, saying the proposal would need careful consideration.



Why Long-Term Guarantees Matter for Ukraine’s Future

For Kyiv, the issue is not just about ending the current war — it’s about preventing the next one.

Ukrainian officials argue that without firm, enforceable guarantees backed by major powers like the United States, Russia could regroup and strike again once conditions are favorable. Long-term security commitments would allow Ukraine to rebuild, attract investment, and stabilize its economy without the constant threat of renewed conflict.

In essence, Zelenskyy sees security guarantees as the foundation of any meaningful peace.



The Missing Piece: Russia’s Role

One of the biggest uncertainties remains Russia’s stance. Moscow has not publicly endorsed the peace framework being discussed, nor has it signaled willingness to accept long-term Western security guarantees for Ukraine.

As fighting continues on the ground, analysts caution that diplomatic progress without Russian buy-in remains fragile and incomplete.




What Happens Next?

Negotiations are expected to continue into the coming months, with possible involvement from European allies and NATO partners. Zelenskyy has indicated he wants broader international participation to strengthen and legitimize any security arrangement.

For now, his call for a 50-year U.S. security guarantee stands as a bold statement — signaling that Ukraine is seeking not just an end to war, but a permanent shield against future aggression.




Final Thoughts

While Trump and Zelenskyy may appear more upbeat in public, the reality is that peace for Ukraine remains uncertain. Zelenskyy’s proposal highlights the core dilemma facing negotiators: how to secure a lasting peace in a region where past promises have failed.

Until that question is convincingly answered, optimism alone will not be enough.


politics

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