If Putin wins

Will Vladimir Putin lose his war in Ukraine? The answer seems to be in the affirmative for some of them, who live on a stray political ideology that has become wooden, to the effect that America is capable of everything, and that what it plans is necessarily achieved, and that it has caught the Russian President in the trap of the Ukraine war, hoping to turn it into another Afghanistan, draining the Russian Federation , just as the earlier war in Afghanistan exhausted the power of the Soviet Union, and added to the factors for its collapse in the early nineties of the twentieth century.

One may not fail to see great naive digressions, such as exaggerating the devastating impact of harsh economic and financial sanctions on the West, even on the chances of Putin himself staying in the “Kremlin,” as British politicians in particular, and American circles wanting to tighten the nerves of the decimated administration of President Joe Biden. And it exaggerates the value of timely gains made for Washington, the most important of which is the unification of the West again under the American leadership and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), and the use of the United Nations pulpits to defame Putin’s Russia, in a vulgar reading of the world’s facts today, although only three votes supported the Russian veto, By abstaining from voting in favor of the American draft resolution condemning Russia in the UN Security Council, while ten countries drifted behind Washington’s desire, but reading the situation from a different point of view reveals the huge difference in the balance, perhaps in favor of Russia. Only two countries that abstained, China and India, have Of the strength of representation and economic, military and demographic weight, of course, what?It may exceed what the American alliance represents in contemporary world conditions, and this is evidenced by what happened in the discussions of the United Nations General Assembly, which Washington resorted to, to escape the impasse in the Security Council, and invoke the principles of international law and the Charter of the United Nations, which Russia has completely violated. As America did several times without punishment, and the mixture of intimidation and enticement had its effect in the issuance of a symbolic and moral resolution against Russia, which was supported by 141 member states of the international organization.

Despite the few countries that refused or refrained from condemning Russia, it represents at least half of the world's population today, which simply means, that a vertical and horizontal division governs the moment, and that the new polarization on the international summit, between the Russian-Chinese alliance on the one hand, and the US-European alliance The Western side, on the other hand, has formed its distinguishing features, and that Washington cannot, whatever it does, isolate a country the size of Russia, with its highly developed armament and nuclear power, especially with Moscow relying on the wall of China, the full force advancing to the top of the world in terms of economy, weapons and technology.

In the details, and on the inflamed theater of Ukraine, where the features of the new world are being tested by fire, it does not seem that Putin is on the way to lose the bet, which was recognized by the American magazine “Newsweek” with the start of the Russian war in Ukraine, Newsweek said in short that “Putin did not He never loses a war.” Over the past twenty years, neither in Chechnya, nor in Georgia, nor in Crimea, nor in Syria, nor in Kazakhstan, the magazine expected that Putin will also win his new war in Ukraine, and the explanation is understandable in our opinion, as he does not push his forces into wars of attrition. He who observes what happened in the first days of the current war, notes Putin's sudden smooth blending of his opponents, between considerations of politics and the power of arms, and if it is usually said, that war is an extension of politics by other means. The opposite is true to the same degree. Putin started the war with a lightning focused missile bombardment, with the aim of destroying the Ukrainian military infrastructure,This continued at a slower pace in the following days, and with an intentional review of the superior Russian military capabilities, from the Kalibr missiles to the high-precision long-range “Iskander” missiles, with a gradual, calculated push of forces into Ukraine, whose “Soviet” weapons and terrain are well known by the Russians. From above, they fought historical wars, the most important of which is what is known to Russia as the “Great Patriotic War”, after which the defeats of Hitler’s armies followed, and the destruction of his capital, Berlin, which Russian forces were the first to enter victoriously at the end of World War II, which applies its remaining lessons in the Ukraine war. Today, with its narrower scope, theoretically capable of expanding to infinity, and in what looks like a third world war, it will most likely not erupt soon, especially after Putin deliberately used the nuclear hammer, and ordered his forces to mobilize a state of maximum nuclear readiness, and Russia is the largest nuclear power in the world Today, Putin, with his horrific declaration, wanted to draw the limits of the US-European intervention in the Ukraine war,Its immediate effect was evident when the White House and the Pentagon, along with Britain and the European Union, announced their reluctance and refusal to go along with the panicked Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky's cries for help, and his insistent appeal to Washington to impose a no-fly zone in Ukraine's airspace, or at least in the skies of the western Ukrainian part adjacent to the joining countries. Indeed, NATO, which Washington has categorically rejected, claiming a desire not to get involved in direct combat with the Russians, may ignite the Third World War. America does not have the luxury of entering a war in which there is no chance of a definite victory, and prefers the principle of leadership from behind, by sending Thousands of tons of shipments of “lethal” weapons to Ukraine, and the Ukrainians are sacrificed on the altar of a war they cannot win, despite the apparent valor of the Ukrainian resistance against the Russian advance, which is taking place at a slow pace, gradual in the size of the ground forces and the quality of their soldiers, and deliberately not to rush into The storming of major Ukrainian cities, and mitigating the consequences of slipping into urban warsExorbitantly urgent, preferring the tactic of encirclement wars and besieging the militants and the Ukrainian army inside the cities, then asking to negotiate or push them to surrender with decisive fire superiority. Russian separatist forces to exhaust the Ukrainian army in the Donbas region, which is richer in its resources and industries, and the successive seizure of cities and small countries, and the siege of Mariupol, the largest city in the Donbass, which Russia wants to win permanently and permanently, and perhaps annex it to its territory later, while Russia does not want a permanent occupation of the rest of Ukraine to the west, and insists on the semi-total disarmament of the Ukrainian army, the control of the four nuclear plants, the subjugation of what it calls neo-Nazis and Ukrainian nationalists, and the isolation of the Jewish-Zionist group of President Zelensky, through the process of “shake and shake” the internal situation in Ukraine, and use Dual arms and bargaining offers in one breath, onThe way Zelensky pushed into negotiations, some of which took place in Belarus, an ally of Russia. Moscow wants her to pave the way for a complete Ukrainian surrender agreement, with the storming of the capital, “Kyiv,” and to prove the disappointment of the West, which resorted to old tactics, previously provided by Washington to the “Mujahideen” brigades in a war of attrition. The Russians - the Soviets - in Afghanistan, and perhaps through the same weapons models, such as the Stinger missiles, which are called the “airplane killer”, and the addition of “Javelin” tank-butcher missiles, all of which are weapons that often go to the Russian arms depots in the end, especially when Moscow extends its military arm to the western borders of Ukraine, and stops the flow of weapons and European Nazis wishing to join the so-called “Foreign Legion” or “Ukrainian Jihad” brigades, which supports Moscow’s claim to turn Ukraine into a Nazi outpost, and into a nuclear development threat to Russia’s security. , which today wants not only to prevent Ukraine from joining NATO, but also to turn it into an open space completely under managementRussia, and not only making it a neutral buffer zone on Russia’s borders with the “NATO” countries, and making the Russian invasion of it a precedent that frightens its sisters in Europe, and in its east in particular, pushes them to tend to lessen the burden of Moscow’s enmity, and seek to gain chances of a safe stay next to the Russian bear Especially after the likely failure of America and “NATO” to save Ukraine, in addition to the expected failure to bring the Russian economy to its knees, sanctions are the weapon of idiots, and Iran’s strength has increased despite forty years of sanctions. And its "unlimited" close alliance with the Chinese dragon, the compass for the greatest gain in the transformations of the international moment.