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False Start

Republicans fail to elect Speaker

By Robert BowenPublished 3 years ago 3 min read

January 3rd was the first day of the new session of Congress for 2023. In the fall elections, voters elected a majority of Republicans giving them control of the House of Representatives. As is always the case, the first order of business is to elect a Speaker. The former Speaker, Nancy Pelosi, is a Democrat and in the minority Party. Republicans must elect their own Speaker for the next two years. This is something that is almost pro forma—in the pre-Trump era at least.

Republicans made history today, Jan 3rd, by not electing a Speaker on opening day. In fact, it has been 100 years since the Speaker was not elected on the first ballot on the first day. Warren Harding was president last time more than one ballot was required.

Voters elected a Republican majority in the Congress because they wanted change. They got change, but not necessarily the kind of change they wanted.

Representative Kevin McCarthy, Republican from California, was the minority leader during the last session. He was expected to become the new Speaker. There was not even any speculation in the media that there may be a challenge.

The names of the Members of the House were called in alphabetical order, and each member stated their choice for Speaker. Democrats all voted for Rep. Hakim Jeffries of Ney York as Speaker knowing he would not be elected Speaker. Voting for him was symbolic only. He will be the Minority Leader for the next two years.

A funny thing happened on the way to McCarthy’s coronation. He only received 203 votes—not a majority. Another Republican, Rep Andy Biggs of Arizona, was also nominated and on the first ballot. He received 10 votes. Nine votes went to other Republicans—enough to deprive Kevin McCarthy a majority. So, a second ballot was required. This time, Representative Jim Jordan of Ohio was also nominated. McCarthy received 203 votes; Jordan received 19.

If at first (and second) you don’t succeed, try again. In round three, McCarthy actually lost a vote to Jordan. So. another ballot is required. The Republicans adjourned the House until, noon Wednesday to give themselves time to sort this out. The likelihood of the Trump-backed 20 Republicans backing down is slight at best.

Rep. Jim Jordan continues to tell his fellow Republicans he does not want the job. He maintains his support for McCarthy. Perhaps they had a deal.

McCarthy has already given the conservatives almost all that they asked for so that well may be dry. One strategy that is certainly under consideration by the McCarthy wing is to work with Democrats to get enough votes to elect him. One thing Democrats may want from McCarthy is to change the rules, making it easier for them to push their agenda.

It is also likely that deals are being cut for future favors to Republicans from a Speaker McCarthy. It is also quite likely that big contributors of Republican holdouts may pressure those members to vote for McCarthy. It is possible another compromise candidate may emerge, but not likely.

The right-wing hardliners say they are not backing down. Their group includes luminaries like Colorado’s Representative Lauren Boebert, Arizona’s Paul Gosar, and Florida’s Matt Gaetz. They join thirteen other far-right Republicans

Meanwhile, moderate Republicans are talking to Democrats to see if a coalition might be structured to elect a more moderate Republican Speaker with Democratic and some Republican votes if the rules changes do not work. McCarthy said he is not backing down. Noon Wednesday is not very far away.

Stay tuned for the next episode of How Republicans Govern.

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