Preview: Aztecs hope to extend winning streak vs. Fresno State to 12 in a row

The San Diego State Aztecs are gearing up for a highly anticipated Mountain West Conference clash against the Fresno State Bulldogs on February 18, 2025. With the Aztecs riding an 11-game winning streak against the Bulldogs, they will be looking to extend that run to 12 games and maintain their momentum as the season progresses. For Fresno State, this matchup presents an opportunity to upset one of the top teams in the conference and potentially salvage their challenging season.

The State of Both Teams

The Aztecs have been a dominant force in the Mountain West Conference this year, holding a solid 17-6 overall record, with a 10-4 mark in conference play. They have been consistent on both ends of the floor, with a balanced offensive attack that averages 70.8 points per game while also boasting one of the best defenses in the nation, allowing only 62.6 points per game. This strong all-around play has propelled San Diego State to the upper echelons of the conference standings, and they are poised to make a deep run in the postseason.

On the other hand, Fresno State has struggled throughout the 2024-2025 season. With a 5-21 overall record and a dismal 1-14 record in conference play, the Bulldogs have faced an uphill battle all year long. Their sole conference win came against Air Force, and they have had difficulty both offensively and defensively. Fresno State averages 72 points per game, but their defense has been a significant weakness, allowing 81.7 points per contest. As they head into this matchup, the Bulldogs will need to find ways to shore up their defense if they are to have any chance of breaking the Aztecs’ dominance.

Key Players to Watch

For San Diego State, senior guard Miles Byrd has been a key contributor, leading the team with 13.1 points per game. His ability to score from all areas of the court has been crucial to the Aztecs’ offensive success. Additionally, Byrd’s strong playmaking ability has allowed him to contribute 4.2 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game, making him one of the most well-rounded players on the team. Defensively, Byrd is also a major factor, with 2.0 steals per game, often igniting fast breaks with his tenacity on the defensive end.

Magoon Gwath, a dominant presence in the paint, will be another key player for the Aztecs. Averaging 5.4 rebounds and 2.6 blocks per game, Gwath has been a force on both ends of the floor. His shot-blocking ability has been vital to the Aztecs’ defensive schemes, and his ability to protect the rim will be crucial against Fresno State’s offensive attack.

Fresno State’s leading scorer, who averages 15.2 points per game, will be the Bulldogs’ primary offensive weapon. If they hope to keep the game competitive, this player will need to carry the scoring load and put pressure on the Aztecs’ defense. Additionally, Fresno State’s top rebounder, who contributes 6.8 rebounds per game, will need to play a significant role in limiting San Diego State’s second-chance opportunities.

Aztecs’ Defense vs. Fresno State’s Offense

San Diego State’s defense has been one of the best in the country, ranking 11th nationally in points allowed per game. The Aztecs have thrived on their ability to lock down opponents and force turnovers, and their defense will be key to continuing their winning streak against Fresno State. Their defensive pressure often disrupts the flow of opposing offenses, and they are particularly effective at limiting teams’ high-scoring opportunities. This will be crucial in their attempt to neutralize Fresno State’s top scorers.

Fresno State, however, will need to improve on the defensive end if they want to have a chance in this matchup. The Bulldogs have struggled defensively, allowing 81.7 points per game, and this inefficiency has been a major factor in their poor season. The Bulldogs will need to find ways to tighten up their defense and contest every shot, especially against a San Diego State offense that can score from multiple positions.

Recent Form and Historical Context

The Aztecs have been on a tear in recent weeks, with six wins in their last seven games. Their recent form has cemented their place near the top of the Mountain West standings, and they will be looking to build on that momentum as they face Fresno State. The Aztecs’ winning streak against Fresno State currently stands at 11 games, and they will be hoping to extend that streak to 12 with another dominant performance.

For Fresno State, this game represents a chance to pull off a major upset. While their overall record has been disappointing, they have the talent to challenge the Aztecs, but they will need to put together their best performance of the season to do so. The Bulldogs have shown flashes of brilliance at times, but their inconsistency has hurt them throughout the year.

What’s at Stake

For San Diego State, extending their winning streak against Fresno State is important not only for conference positioning but also for building confidence as they look toward the postseason. A strong finish to the regular season could give the Aztecs the momentum they need to make a deep run in the Mountain West Tournament and potentially secure a high seed in the NCAA Tournament. With the top of the conference being highly competitive, every win counts as they look to secure a favorable position for tournament play.

Fresno State, on the other hand, is playing for pride. With their slim chances of making any significant postseason noise, the Bulldogs will be motivated to prove that they can compete with the best teams in the conference. An upset over San Diego State would not only be a huge confidence boost but could also serve as a stepping stone for future success under their current coaching staff.

The Prediction

Given the form of both teams, the Aztecs are heavily favored to win this matchup. With their superior defense, balanced offense, and depth, they have all the tools to extend their winning streak against Fresno State. The Bulldogs will need to drastically improve their defensive play and hope for a breakout performance from their star player in order to compete with the Aztecs. Still, San Diego State’s overall talent and cohesion are likely to shine through in this game.

The final score prediction is San Diego State 82, Fresno State 61, a comfortable victory for the Aztecs that extends their streak to 12 games and keeps them in a strong position in the Mountain West standings.

Conclusion

As the Aztecs prepare for another showdown with Fresno State, the stakes are high for both teams. San Diego State is looking to extend its dominance in the Mountain West Conference and continue its winning ways, while Fresno State is fighting for respect and hoping to make a statement with a major upset. With a clear advantage in talent and recent form, the Aztecs are poised to come out on top, but Fresno State will be determined to prove they can compete with the conference’s best.