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Is the political duopoly in the UK coming to an end?

Labour Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Conservative Party Leader Kemi Badenoch attend a V-E Day celebration in London on May 8, 2025.

By Francis DamiPublished 8 months ago 4 min read

The leader of Reform UK, a populist right-wing party that opposes immigration and has seen a sharp increase in support in recent months, was rejoicing over his candidate's close win in a by-election in the northwest English constituency of Runcorn and Helsby.

Under the shining smile, Faraj showed how close the race was by holding six fingers and representing six definitive voices. "It could be a small lead, but it's a big win," he said, congratulating his colleague Sarah Pochin. Getting nearly 15,000 votes for workers at Runcorn and Healthby was a huge win, in fact, but last Thursday's reform performance in the local elections sent an even harsher political message to his opponents.

The Reform gained control of 10 of the 23 councils and 677 of the 1,600 seats. He also came in first place in two mayoral elections. One is in the Lincolnshire area and the other is Hal & East Yorkshire area. Conversely, the conservative and labor forces, historically dominant forces in British politics, collapsed: the parties lost 67 or 187 local seats, none of which controlled a single vote.

When the extent of his success occurred, Farage said there were "different policies" in the country. "We are currently in the opposition for British work, and Tories (conservatives) are a waste of space," he said. Last week, beyond the two-party politics, many political commentators proposed that the UK has ended for decades.

"The results confirm that we are in an age of four or five partner policies," says Tim Bale, a political professor at Queen Mary University in London. "Fragmentation of the party system has been implemented since the mid-1970s, but has been accelerating considerably in recent years."

"And as a result, we see the rules of work, and conservatives may have finally finished."

During the reform at a distance in local elections, the liberal Democrats were first well separated and harmonized in many former Tory bases. The rise of reform is the result of traditional parties not specifically improving people's lives and public services, and according to Bale, their tendencies are over-elected, and they are obliged to take away their future.

Labour Issues: a crisis for conservatives

Political analysts announced that Farage's victory was a job issue last Thursday, but a much bigger threat to the Conservatives. The next parliamentary elections do not need to be held until 2029, so the government's Labour Party has up to four years to set the agenda and bring about the promised change, experts said.

"The results confirm that we are in an era of four or five partner policies." Tim Bale, Politics Professor at Queen Mary University, London The government could boost the popularity of reforms.

"We must expect that what the parties could do before -- economic growth, improved living standards, relatively good public services -- will be more attractive to voters than the emotional performance policies they receive from executives like Nigel Farage," Bale said.

The Conservatives, which were devastated after 1 Year of power in July, don't have to play so hard. General elections, local elections, warned that and local elections do not always point to voting behaviour, and the Tories said they could face "existential crisis" at the national level.

"One of the most successful election machines in British history and one of the most successful election machines in the world of democratic history came across the screen here," he mentioned this year's local elections four years ago.

"We switched to parties from anywhere in 2021, anywhere in 2025. They were completely wiped out and lost 70% of all individual advice and councils. Ford said it would be difficult for Tories to rebuild their opposition brands as Tories are not available in contrast to their work.

After the final YouGov survey, 9% of Labour voters in 202 choose reforms and 26% of conservative voters. Nevertheless, it may be too early to explain to Tories to die, said Patrick English, director of political analysis at YouGov.

"The two most established parties in British politics have survived everything that has been thrown at the last 120 years, so perhaps none of them should be marginalized," the English said. “In the past few months of the survey, we have seen in the general election that workers and conservatives face serious structural challenges in the voting coalition and support bases.

Faragesmus Both

Traps and conservatives must focus on themselves, Ford said, instead of attempting to have a monkey monkey. He cited the example of immigration, and former Conservative Prime Minister Rishi Sunak promised to stop boats, immigrants from Europe.

"You (conservatives) became a party out of nowhere by the party in 2021." Rob Ford, a political scientist at the University of Manchester "You tried to offer people pound shops and discounts. But no one wants it. Why should you embrace the tea if you can get the original?" he said.

Labor should also be careful, he warned. "You have to play this fight on your site, not on the topography of the Faraj. It must be home art, not a litigation to abandon."

Both traditional parties hope that the underlying right-wing parties are susceptible to being affected by the fight for reform, or fragmentation, as part of the management of city council control. asked if Farage could become prime minister in the coming years.

Death of "first past of post"?

One of the things that clarified the outcome of the local elections is that it could change the UK's (FPTP) system. For example,

was just 33.7% of the votes in last year's general election, with Labour winning

12 of the 650 seats. The growing popularity of reforms not only allows two key parties to disproportionately benefit from the current system. Farage's party has proven to be just as popular in local elections, winning around 31% of the votes, but a much higher percentage of council members.

The changing political landscape in the UK can change the views of those who have always supported the FPTP. ” If you are a conservative or work politician or activist, or voter who views the Nigel Farage majority government as the worst outcome, there is only one electoral system that will result in this outcome: FPTP.

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Francis Dami

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