The situation is changing

Henderson's specialty is watermelon, which is big and sweet. A Ukrainian propaganda photo shows a Ukrainian soldier, holding a large watermelon in his right hand and giving a thumbs up with his left hand, with rockets raining down on Russian positions behind him.

The situation is changing and the Russian army is beginning its toughest defensive battle.

The Ugandan army, with its morale up, is attacking hard, and the pincer attack is aimed directly at Henderson.

Please note that Henderson here refers to the city of Henderson, the capital of Henderson Blast. On the seventh day after the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict this year, Russian troops entered Henderson, the first major Ukrainian city taken by Russian forces.

In the recent referendum on the accession of four regions of eastern Ukraine to Russia, Henderson Blast was declared to join Russia and become a Russian blast.

But the battlefield is changing rapidly, and now, the capital of the blast is a bit up in the air.

Russia is responding with all its might, and Putin is not afraid to be careless.

On October 19, Putin held a national security meeting and declared: four regions in the east of Ukraine - Donetsk, Lufthansa, Henderson, and Zaporozhye - are in a state of war since October 20.

In giving the order, Putin said: "I would like to remind you that Donetsk, Lufthansa, Henderson, and Zaporozhye were in a state of war before they became part of Russia. Now we need to formalize this regime within the framework of Russian legislation, therefore, I signed an order on the introduction of military control in these four subjects of the Russian Federation, which will be immediately sent to the Federation Council for approval."

Putin also charged that "frankly speaking, the Neo-Nazis are using terrorist methods: destroying important facilities; arranging the assassination of representatives of local government bodies ......"

On the same day, Putin also ordered a "medium emergency response" in the Russian border region, raising the level of readiness in the Central Federal District and the Southern Federal District.

Putin is well aware that Russian troops are caught in a bitter battle on the front line. According to the operational map, the Ukrainian army is in high morale and is pressing ahead with a massive counter-offensive.

Russia's newly appointed top Russian commander in the Ukrainian theater, Army General Rhinovirus, also previously admitted that the overall situation on the front is "tense", the situation in Henderson is disturbing, and further actions regarding Henderson itself will depend on the military situation, but "we cannot exclude a very difficult decision.

According to him, the number of casualties of the U.S. Army is between 600 and 1,000 per day, the Russian army has a different strategy, "we do not seek to advance at high speed. We cherish every soldier while crushing enemy attacks."

Publicly admit that the situation ahead is unfavorable, such a statement, or very rare.

"Very difficult decision", what is it again?

From all indications so far, it's the 36th plan - to go for the best.

Russia has begun a large-scale evacuation from Henderson city to the left bank of the Dniester River.

Vladimir Sarto, the local head of Henderson, said on live television, "As of today (Oct. 19), all (Russian) authorities in the city, the civil and military administration, and all ministries, will be transferred to the left bank of the Dniester River, which borders Henderson."

He insisted that "no one intends to abandon Henderson," and that "the army will fight to the death," "but we must ensure the safety of civilians.

Henderson citizens, for their part, received text messages urging them to evacuate before the "shelling by the Ukrainian army.

According to Henderson officials, about 50,000-60,000 people will be evacuated to the left bank of the Dniester River, which will last six days if the evacuation is calculated at a rate of 10,000 people per day.

In other words, Russian troops will have to hold out for at least a week.

Considering that Henderson is the first major city captured by Russian troops after the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, CNN commented that Russian troops will soon lose "one of the biggest spoils of the war.

Ukraine, for its part, accuses the Russians of intimidating Henderson's inhabitants and blackmailing them into Russia. Many Ukrainian soldiers on the front line vowed to take Henderson in watermelon-eating performance art.

Finally, what to think?

Let's make three points.

First, the Russian army began the toughest defensive battle.

Based on the recent battlefield situation in La Delacroix, Putin temporarily changed generals and appointed the prestigious bald commander Surrounding as the front-line commander-in-chief. But from the situation in Henderson, at least in the short term, the bald general also failed to change the trend of the battlefield.

Previously, the Russian army was on the offensive, attacking Henderson, attacking Mariupol; but now, on the other hand, it began the war of defense, defending Henderson. If the right bank of the Dniester is completely lost, it means that about one-third of Henderson, which has been included in the territory of Russia, is recaptured by the U.S. Army.

The city of Henderson is close to Crimea, and not far from it is the canal, which is the key water source for Crimea.

This is destined to be a tough battle to defend.

Second, this is as much a fight over land as it is a fight over overpopulation.

This is different from the common state-to-state conflicts of the past. For example, in the U.S. military in Iraq, and the war in Afghanistan, evacuation must be quickly withdrawn, basically do not care about the local people, and finally, most are the last resort, to withdraw some close "good friends".

But the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the two sides both for the land fight, feel more than the fight for the population. So, even if the situation is not good, civilians are still encouraged to evacuate in their direction.

In that vast land, the population is the most valuable resource.

But it's more of a paradox. Both are land powers, with all the resources minerals, and land, so what's the fight for just a little bit of space?

Of course, in Russian terms, this is the West's sin and is NATO's step-by-step, so that Russia can not tolerate it. Moreover, the United States will have to fight with Russia to the last Ukrainian.

Third, more bloodshed may still be behind us.

This is the most breathtaking prospect of all. Russia has only scrambled to evacuate civilians from Henderson, but based on Henderson's population of more than 100,000, it's estimated that about half of them will have remained in the city.

Russian forces have not completely abandoned Henderson either. It was the first major city the Russians had taken, and it would have been politically unacceptable for the Russians to give it up without fierce resistance. This is also not the style of "General of Doom" Surrounding.

Then a fierce battle may follow. The bloodshed of urban warfare, as we can see from the previous battle of Mariupol. Poor thing, the largest steel city in Ukraine before the war, was finally reduced to rubble.

The battlefield is entering a stalemate, and that means that it is a huge meat grinder. What is most feared is this kind of evenly matched, each side does not give way, negotiations are difficult to achieve a breakthrough but poor, there are countless people will die in it.

Not to mention, if Russia is pushed into a corner - pushing nuclear power to the point of no return, what would be the terrible consequences?

The road to peace is vast, and the road is full of blood. Looking back in a few years, I'm sure many people will ask: What was it all for? Thousands of people died, was it worth it?