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The European Commission recently adopted a package of expansion agreements

Recommendation for Bosnia and Herzegovina Candidate Status

By De RoederPublished 3 years ago 4 min read

The European Union, which announced just a few months ago that it would grant candidate country status to Ukraine and Moldova, is expanding again.

According to Inhuman, the European Commission recently adopted a package of expansion agreements, recommending that Bosnia and Herzegovina be granted candidate status. The rationale is to speed up the accession process of the Western Balkans and that Bosnia and Herzegovina's reforms for EU membership have been effective.

When it comes to Bosnia and Herzegovina, most people may have a little impression. But when it comes to Sarajevo, almost everyone knows that it was the site of the First World War, and Sarajevo is the capital of Bosnia and Herzegovina. If the Balkans are the "powder keg" of Europe, then Bosnia and Herzegovina is the biggest spark that ignited the powder keg.

In the 7th century AD, some Yugoslavs from the Eastern European plains moved south to the Balkans. As the peninsula was under the contention of the Byzantine and Frankish empires, the Yugoslavs who went to settle there were also influenced by different religions and cultures, splitting into the Serbs, who were Orthodox, and the Croats, who were Catholic.

As the two empires weakened, the Serbs and Croats established their states, and Bosnia, at the border of the two countries, became a buffer zone for the two communities through its rugged mountainous barrier, gradually establishing the Bosnian state.

In the mid-15th century, the Ottoman Empire expanded its power into the Balkans and occupied Bosnia. Before the poor Bosnian could form their own national identity, they suffered from Islamic cultural aggression, and the main ethnic group converted to Muslim. By the 16th century, Sarajevo's Muslim population had reached 98.7%.

After the 18th century, taking advantage of the decline of the Ottoman Empire, the upstart Strauss-Hungarian Empire reached out to the Balkans. At this time, the national consciousness of the communities also began to rise, and both Serbs and Croats in Bosnia and Herzegovina wanted to secede from their countries and merge with their home countries, Serbia and Croatia.

The spark for the outbreak of World War I was the awakening of national consciousness of the young Serbian Princeton, dissatisfied with the rule of Austria-Hungary, who assassinated Archduke Ferdinand, triggering the major European empires to kill each other.

During this period, the ethnic tensions in Bosnia and Herzegovina were still not eased until Tito established Yugoslavia after World War II. The "Greater Serbian ism" in Yugoslavia was weakened by Tito's skillful "watering down", and the ethnic groups were able to take turns in power, barely able to suppress the ethnic conflicts.

But after Tito's death, this apparent peace became difficult to maintain, coinciding with the dramatic changes in the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe, and the disintegration of Yugoslavia in 1991.

The three main ethnic groups in Bosnia and Herzegovina then erupted into bitter conflict: the Serbs were adamantly opposed to independence and vowed to preserve the unity of a Serbian-dominated Yugoslavia; the Muslims, on the contrary, wanted to establish a Muslim-dominated independent state; the Croats were relatively moderate and, although they also advocated independence, wanted the member states to form a loose federation.

In 1992, the Muslim and Croat communities passed a referendum on independence in the collective absence of the Serbs. Not to be outdone, the Serbs soon declared an independent state, and the war in Bosnia and Herzegovina broke out.

Originally, the Serbs, with the support of Serbia, sang to the top and soon gained an overwhelming advantage. Seeing that the Serbs were about to take all of Bosnia and Herzegovina, NATO came off the scene, and the Mk federal gradually prevailed.

In the end, under the mediation of then-President Clinton, the three parties signed the Dayton Agreement, establishing the political structure of Bosnia and Herzegovina as "one state, two political entities, three Presidency members", forcing a monstrous state.

In recent years, with the intensification of the tripartite game between the U.S., Russia, and Europe, Bosnia and Herzegovina has become an important grip for foreign forces to forcefully interfere with the situation in the Balkans. On the one hand, the EU and the U.S. have tried to modify the distribution of rights in Bi through legislation to elevate the status of its domestic Croat voters. After all, Croatia is a member of the EU.

Serbia and Russia, for their part, are adamantly opposed to Bi's inclusion in the Western sphere of influence, which the EU can reluctantly accept, but NATO definitely cannot. At the end of last year, due to opposition to Bi's membership in NATO, Republican Polska even decided at one point to withdraw from Bi's government institutions, and once successful, Bi is likely to face disintegration and the outbreak of war is inevitable.

Subsequently, with the intervention of the international community, the idea of the Serbs rebuilding their army was put to rest, but the rift with the Bukharin Federation also grew further. At the same time, the Mush Confederation is not a monolithic entity, and the two sides are fighting for power and profit. In contrast, Republican Polska is much more united.

The United States and the European Union do not know how to solve the chaos in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Even Clinton, who single-highhandedly led the peace talks in Bosnia and Herzegovina, said that the Dayton Agreement was only a temporary agreement born in the background at that time and that the ethnic conflicts in Bosnia and Herzegovina could not be solved by a paper agreement.

The EU is too divided to handle the accession of Macedonia, which is not subject to the intervention of major powers, let alone Bosnia and Herzegovina, which is being watched by all parties.

The dispute that broke out between Serbia and Kosovo some time ago, but also to make the Balkan gunpowder barrel that was already smoking intensified the risk of explosion, Bucolic's days are getting more and more difficult. The current election in Bosnia and Herzegovina is underway until everything comes to an end, perhaps the situation in the Balkans can be temporarily stabilized.

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De Roeder

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