US, Iran and China: A critical phase in the balance of power in the Middle East

The growing tension between the US and Iran in recent months has made the Middle East the center of attention of world powers, where military movements, diplomatic statements, economic relations and behind-the-scenes strategic activities are clearly reflecting a new balance of power. In the current situation, the US has deployed its aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln and other naval assets near the region, which is apparently being described as a defensive measure to prepare for possible threats against Iran. However, military experts say that the purpose of this deployment is not only to send a message to Iran but also to assess the changing strategic realities in the region and the new balance of power between world powers, especially at a time when China has established a strong partnership with Iran not only on the economic but also on the diplomatic and technical levels. The 25-year Comprehensive Cooperation Agreement is considered a milestone in global politics, under which energy, infrastructure, trade, technology and possibly defense cooperation are being promoted. In the context of this agreement, the fact that China is buying a large part of Iran's oil despite US sanctions has also become the center of attention of global analysts, which is not only supporting Iran's economy but also meeting China's energy needs. This economic interdependence is a cause of concern for Washington because it appears to be weakening the US policy of pressure. In the same vein, China's key role in restoring diplomatic relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia three years ago is also a sign that Beijing is now emerging not just as an economic power but as an active diplomatic player, whose effects are being felt on the peace and stability of the Gulf region, international trade and global energy supply. According to defense experts, although the United States is still the largest power in the region in military terms, Iran has unconventional defense capabilities that can be used by any country. In the event of a potential conflict, American interests could be seriously harmed, including advanced drone technology, cruise missiles, coastal defense systems, suicide drones, and regional alliance networks. In addition, an important aspect of modern warfare is the superiority of surveillance and information in space, where Chinese and Russian military satellites are monitoring military activities in the region in real time, making it impossible to completely conceal the movements of American forces. This factor is changing the balance of power and reinforcing the cautious thinking found in Washington. Analysts say that the United States is well aware of the fact that in the event of a direct attack on Iran, the reaction will not be limited to Iran alone, but its effects could spread to the Gulf, the Arabian Sea, global energy markets, international trade, and sensitive waterways for energy transport. In particular, the security of a globally important route like the Strait of Hormuz is of exceptional importance to the global economy. That is why the United States should not close diplomatic channels while maintaining military pressure. While Iran is also trying to give the impression on the diplomatic front that it is not ready for aggression but for the protection of sovereignty, China's role is emerging as a balancing factor in this whole scenario because Beijing is not only strengthening its relations with Iran but is also linking stability in the region, trade, energy supply and global influence with its long-term interests. Overall, the current situation reflects that the world has entered a phase where military power alone is no longer decisive, but economic partnership, technology, diplomacy, information superiority, international cooperation and global strategy have become equally important. These are the factors that have brought the relations between the US, Iran and China to a delicate but decisive crossroads, where the consequences of any miscalculation can have far-reaching effects not only regionally but also globally. Therefore, in the current situation, only reporting on military preparedness and tensions is not enough, but its in-depth analysis, economic impacts, regional stability, It is important to understand the energy supply, defense capabilities, diplomatic relations and strategic strategies of global powers so that the impact of any potential crisis can be accurately assessed and the international community, countries in the region and relevant authorities can take timely measures. This report has been prepared based on this analytical approach and in-depth observations of the current situation. Written and Researched by Malik Sarfaraz Hussain Awan