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Gold Price Future Projection

What Experts say about the future of Gold Price

By Dr. Sulaiman AlgharbiPublished 3 years ago 3 min read

Even though 2022 got off to a bright start for gold, its price steadily declined. Gold has had a price tag of less than $2,000 per ounce since March 2022. This is a report from the year 2023. However, the tend started to turn around by late 2022. The value of precious metals has just started to rise. The price of gold couldn't manage to get beyond $1,800 per troy ounce.

Gold's reputation for maintaining its monetary worth through the ages and millennia is well-known. Those who believe in gold's safe-haven reputation utilize it as a hedge against inflation and economic upheaval. Investors may get exposure to the precious metal gold via gold-mining stocks and gold-linked exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Investors seek the stability of precious metals in times of market uncertainty, expecting their value to be preserved. Those who aren't investors nevertheless regard gold as a hedge against hyperinflation and a breakdown in the economy. According to a study published by the Globe Gold Council in November 2022, central banks worldwide purchased unprecedented quantities of gold that year, with Turkey, Uzbekistan, and Qatar being the top three buyers.

Gold's price has increased by around 5% a year during the last several decades. This increase may be attributed to several factors, the most significant of which are the receptiveness of the Chinese market, increased demand, and the dollar's devaluation. The price was under severe pressure as central banks worldwide increased interest rates and tightened monetary policy. Please allow me to take you on a little journey as we discuss this precious metal's potential growth in worth.

China is a significant buyer of gold. As the Chinese economy begins to recover, demand for precious metals in 2023 seems more promising. The People's Bank of China (PBoC) has reportedly increased its gold purchases by 32 tons, marking the first rise in its gold holdings since September 2019.

Priced in US dollars, the precious metal appreciates as the dollar weakens. Our whole system of bookkeeping reflects this reality. Recent events, however, have shown that there is more to be understood than those simplistic forecasts. After the US Federal Reserve (Fed) started tightening monetary policy in March in reaction to rising inflation, gold prices rapidly dropped below $2,000 by the middle of the month. Investors have abandoned gold in favor of the US currency after the Fed's aggressive rate hike.

Since the US dollar is stronger than most other currencies, gold loses value. But as the US dollar falls in value, gold prices tend to climb. On the other hand, gold priced in US dollars is gaining ground as the currency weakens, and investors speculate that the Federal Reserve may slow the rate at which it raises interest rates. The federal funds rate was raised by 50 basis points (bps) during the Federal Reserve's December 2022 meeting, which was less than in prior years (when it had increased the rate by 75 bps).

Algorithm-based automated service that makes price forecasts Wallet Investor predicted that gold's price would rise to $2,257 by January 2028. On the other hand, evidence to the contrary may be shown for any alternative forecast. By 2023, the average price of gold, according to Fitch Solutions, will be $1,850 per ounce. Based on their forecasts, the ABN-Amro Group estimates that the average price of gold in 2023 will be $1,900 per ounce. On December 8, 2022, Greg Shearer, head of base and gold strategy at JP Morgan, said that the US investment bank saw upside risks for gold in 2023. Due to China's openness, ANZ Research predicted increased physical demand for the metal from 2022 through 2023, giving them a reason to be bullish about the metal in the next year. Fitch Solutions predicts that the price of gold will fall after 2023 as the global economy recovers and the war between Russia and Ukraine concludes. This prediction was made in December 2022. ANZ Research forecast that gold prices would fall to $1,750 in 2024, $1,700 in 2025, and $1,690 in 2026 as the global economy began to improve in the latter half of the decade. According to forecasts made by analysts at an Australian bank, gold's price would drop from March 2024's $1,920 to June 2024's $1,900. Due to the possibility that interest rate increases would continue well into 2023, the World Bank forecasted in October 2022 that gold would average $1,650 per ounce in 2024, down from $1,700 per ounce in 2023 and $1,775 per ounce in 2022.

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About the Creator

Dr. Sulaiman Algharbi

Retired after more than 28 years of experience with the Saudi Aramco Company. Has a Ph.D. degree in business administration. Book author. Articles writer. Owner of ten patents.

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sulaiman.algharbi/

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