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Canadians Go to the Ballot in Election Shaken by Trump’s Shadow.

Liberals Expected to Defeat Conservatives in Election Driven by Concerns Over Sovereignty and Escalating Trade War.

By Syed SarafatPublished 9 months ago 3 min read

As Canadians head to the polls in a high-stakes federal election, the shadow of Donald Trump looms large, as his recent threats to Canada's sovereignty and the growing trade war with the U.S. stir deep fears across the nation.

In the final days of a month-long campaign, described by all political leaders as the most pivotal election in recent history, Trump inserted himself into the national conversation once more. His latest comments, suggesting Canada could become part of the United States, reignited fury. “We don’t need anything from Canada,” Trump declared in a Time magazine interview. “The only way this really works is for Canada to become a state."

Adding to the tension, a deadly attack at Vancouver's bustling Lapu Lapu festival shook the nation, forcing Prime Minister Mark Carney to temporarily halt his campaign. With at least 11 dead and several injured, Carney offered heartfelt condolences: “We are united in mourning. We will comfort the grieving and care for each other in these difficult times.”

  • Just a few months ago, the Liberal party, under Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, was facing a political disaster. Trudeau’s popularity was in freefall, trailing the Conservative party by 27 points. Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre seemed poised to secure a landslide victory. Yet, Trump’s aggressive rhetoric and actions have altered the political landscape entirely, creating a wave of anti-Trump sentiment that has unexpectedly turned the tide in Carney’s favor.
  • Three months ago, few would have predicted that Carney—who stepped into leadership with no electoral experience—would be on the brink of a majority win, reversing the Liberals’ fortune and dramatically reshaping the political battle.
  • “It’s unprecedented,” says Scott Reid, a political adviser. “For the first time, Canada’s closest ally and economic partner has put us in a precarious position, and Mark Carney, a political outsider, has brought the Liberals back from the brink.”
  • While Carney’s resurgence is remarkable, frustration brews among many voters who feel the Liberal government has failed to address the country’s cost-of-living crisis. “We’ve had ten years of Liberal rule,” says Sam, a resident of Carney’s Ottawa district. “They had their chance, and they’ve made things worse. We need a new government.”
  • Running on a message of change, Poilievre has energized the country, attracting young voters disillusioned by the status quo. His campaign, focused on economic concerns, argues that Canada can no longer afford the same policies. “Can we really allow Carney to continue raising taxes and pushing up housing costs?” Poilievre asked during a rally in Saskatoon.
  • This generational divide is stark. Older voters see the threat to Canada’s sovereignty as their primary concern, while younger Canadians are focused on achieving the Canadian dream—owning a home, starting a family, and securing a future.
  • The shifting dynamics have left the Conservatives struggling to balance their support base. “We’ve traditionally been strong with older voters, but now we have young people rallying to us while losing senior men,” says Melanie Paradis, a communications expert.
  • In the background, smaller opposition parties are finding themselves sidelined. The New Democratic Party (NDP), once an ally of the Liberals, faces a dramatic loss, with its leader Jagmeet Singh at risk of losing his seat in Burnaby South. Conservative attacks on the NDP’s ties to the Liberals have taken a toll, with many voters now considering the Liberals as their best option against Trump’s threats.
  • As Election Day approaches, the outcome of this race—dominated by two political giants—remains uncertain. What’s at stake? For older Canadians, it's sovereignty; for the younger generation, it’s the ability to achieve their dreams. This election is not just about politics—it’s about the future of Canada.
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About the Creator

Syed Sarafat

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