AI predicts which film will win the Oscar for Best Picture this year

As the 2026 Oscars approach, the race for Best Picture is heating up with several strong contenders. AI has the ability to predict who will win that award. This technology takes into account the technical quality, the literary quality of each of these stories, and the number of nominations each film received. AI may be wrong in its prediction, but it is always interesting to take it into account.

The nominations include a mix of genres and styles, reflecting a diverse cinematic landscape. The ceremony will be held on March 15, and expectations about who will be the winners of the night are impressive. Here are the key films vying for the prestigious award:

Sinners: A groundbreaking horror musical directed by Ryan Coogler, this film has made history with a record 16 nominations. It explores themes of race and identity in 1930s Mississippi, featuring powerful performances, particularly from Michael B. Jordan.

One Battle After Another: Directed by Paul Thomas Anderson, this comedic political thriller has garnered 13 nominations. It combines sharp humor with a critical look at contemporary issues, making it a strong contender for the top prize.

Hamnet: Directed by Chloé Zhao, this poignant drama delves into the life of William Shakespeare and the impact of his son’s death on his work. The film has been praised for its emotional depth and artistic storytelling.

Frankenstein: Guillermo del Toro's adaptation of Mary Shelley's classic novel brings a unique visual style and thematic depth. While it has received mixed reviews, its craftsmanship and performances are noteworthy.

Bugonia: This film, directed by Yorgos Lanthimos, is a surreal exploration of identity and alienation, featuring Emma Stone. It combines dark humor with thought-provoking themes, making it a standout in the lineup.

F1: A racing drama directed by Joseph Kosinski, this film has surprised many by securing a nomination. It focuses on the personal and professional challenges faced by a racing driver, blending thrilling action with character development.

Train Dreams: directed by Clint Bentley, this adaptation of Denis Johnson's novella tells the story of a man grappling with loss and change in a rapidly evolving world. It has been described as haunting and deeply moving, resonating with audiences and critics alike.

Sentimental Value: Directed by Joachim Trier, this film explores the complexities of artistic expression and the relationship between creators and their work. It has been recognized for its innovative storytelling and strong performances.

The Secret Agent: Directed by Kleber de Mendonça Vasconcellos Filho, this neo-noir thriller is set in Brazil during the military dictatorship. The story examines the blurred lines between truth and fiction. Its intricate narrative and social commentary have garnered critical acclaim.

Marty Supreme: This film directed by Josh Safdie, while less discussed than others, has received nominations for its engaging storytelling and performances, contributing to the overall diversity of the Best Picture category.

The winning story

Sinners has emerged as a strong contender for the Best Picture Oscar at the 2026 Academy Awards, and there are several compelling reasons supporting its candidacy.

This horror film has made history by securing 16 Oscar nominations, surpassing the previous record of 14 held by All About Eve. This achievement not only highlights the film's widespread acclaim but also indicates significant support from the Academy, which is often a strong predictor of success in the Best Picture category.

The moview has been both critically celebrated and commercially successful. Its ability to resonate with audiences while also receiving accolades from critics positions it favorably among Academy voters, who often look for films that have made a significant impact both artistically and financially.

Sinners is praised for its original narrative and the depth of its performances. The film tackles themes of power, prejudice, and the blues in the aftermath of slavery, providing a poignant commentary on social issues that are highly relevant today. This thematic richness, combined with strong performances, enhances its appeal as a Best Picture contender.

The film has garnered respect from industry insiders, which can be crucial during the voting process. The combination of its artistic merit and the goodwill generated by its creators, particularly Ryan Coogler, who has a reputation for pushing boundaries in filmmaking, adds to its chances of winning.

Coogler's direction has been noted for its innovative approach, blending genres and creating a unique cinematic experience. This artistic vision, along with the film's engaging storytelling, makes "Sinners" a standout in a competitive field of nominees.