North America Fertilizer Market Set to Cross US$ 92 Billion by 2033: Innovation, Sustainability, and Food Security at the Core

The North American fertilizer industry is entering a pivotal era marked by rapid modernization, sustainability goals, and rising agricultural demands. According to Renub Research, the North America Fertilizer Market is projected to grow from US$ 68.68 billion in 2024 to US$ 92.23 billion by 2033, expanding at a CAGR of 3.33% from 2025 to 2033. The region’s escalating food consumption, soil nutrient depletion, sustainability mandates, and adoption of smart farming technologies are creating a new blueprint for fertilizer innovation and consumption.

Fertilizers—organic or inorganic nutrient enhancers containing nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P), potassium (K), and essential micronutrients—remain indispensable for strengthening soil fertility and maximizing crop productivity. With a renewed focus on food security and climate-friendly agricultural practices, North America’s fertilizer market is transitioning far beyond traditional use cases.

Why North America’s Fertilizer Market is Growing Rapidly

1. Rising Food Demand Meets Soil Degradation

North America continues to witness population growth and increased pressure on agricultural land. With limited arable land and excessive cropping cycles, soil health is deteriorating rapidly. Fertilizers play a central role in replenishing lost nutrients, enabling farmers to meet yield targets while maintaining output quality. Food staples like corn, wheat, soybeans, fruits, and vegetables heavily depend on nutrient support, further bolstering fertilizer adoption.

2. Precision Agriculture is Reshaping Fertilizer Use

The integration of AI, predictive data analytics, drones, GPS-enabled soil mapping, and IoT sensors is revolutionizing how fertilizers are applied. Precision agriculture helps analyze soil nutrient levels at a micro scale and allows for calculated fertilizer dispensing—cutting costs and minimizing environmental waste. Such innovation is reducing over-fertilization and nutrient runoff, improving both sustainability and farm profitability.

3. Sustainability Is No Longer Optional—It’s a Consumer Expectation

Today’s agriculture supply chain is increasingly led by sustainability benchmarks. Governments, corporations, and consumers are pushing for fertilizers that minimize environmental impact. This has rapidly expanded demand for organic, slow-release, and controlled-release fertilizers, which support long-term soil health without chemical dependency. This shift is not limited to North America; global fertilizer heavyweights are also optimizing sustainable portfolios.

A strong example is the OCP Group (Morocco), which announced in December 2022 its plan to invest US$ 12.3 billion to expand fertilizer production using renewable energy by 2027. Such global trends indirectly influence North American market standards by redefining ecological accountability.

4. Government Support for Innovation and Domestic Production

Federal and regional funding incentives play a key role in enabling fertilizer innovation. The USDA grant programs, regional subsidy frameworks, and green manufacturing incentives encourage domestic fertilizer production, supply chain enhancement, and nutrient management R&D. This is reducing dependency on imported raw materials while boosting local agriculture resilience.

A notable case is CF Industries and Mitsui & Co., Ltd., which announced in May 2022 their partnership to develop a greenfield blue ammonia manufacturing facility in the U.S.. Using advanced carbon capture and sequestration techniques, the plant aims to cut emissions by over 60% compared to conventional ammonia production.

Key Challenges Slowing Growth

1. Volatile Raw Material Costs

Fertilizer production heavily depends on resources such as natural gas, potash, sulfur, ammonia, and phosphate rock—many of which are influenced by global geopolitics and energy reliability. Spikes in natural gas prices, trade restrictions, or supply shortages directly increase manufacturing costs, making affordability a persistent concern for farmers.

2. Supply Chain Disruptions

Global import dependency, port congestion, political conflicts, and cross-border policy issues have periodically disrupted fertilizer supply chains. When fertilizer supply fluctuates, so does crop planning efficiency—causing delays in sowing cycles, inflationary pricing, and lowered agricultural output.

Country-Level Insights

🇺🇸 United States: The Fertilizer Innovation Capital

The U.S. fertilizer market is driven by:

Large-scale commercial farming

Increasing adoption of regenerative agriculture

Investments in domestic nitrogen fertilizer production

In August 2022, Koch Fertilizer invested over US$ 30 million to expand its nitrogen plant in Dodge City, Kansas, increasing its UAN (urea ammonium nitrate) fertilizer output by 35,000 tons annually. This expansion is critical for supporting crop-rich states like Kansas and Colorado while lowering import vulnerabilities.

🇨🇦 Canada: A Global Fertilizer Powerhouse

Canada ranks among the world’s largest fertilizer exporters—3rd in 2021 and 2nd in 2022, largely driven by potash production in Saskatchewan and Alberta. Canada’s fertilizer ecosystem seamlessly blends mining, innovation, and export infrastructure.

In August 2022, ADM (Archer-Daniels-Midland Company) launched a fertilizer terminal blender in Minnesota, strengthening distribution networks for western Canada and the Northern U.S. Corn Belt.

🇲🇽 Mexico: Growth Fueled by Agriculture Import Needs

Unlike the U.S. and Canada, Mexico has limited domestic fertilizer production and remains strongly reliant on imports. The country’s farming sector relies heavily on fertilizers for essential crops such as maize, sugarcane, coffee, beans, wheat, and horticulture products. Recent government initiatives are pushing for greater domestic production and efficiency, though import reliance still dominates the market structure.

Market Segmentation Overview

By Category

Organic Fertilizers

Inorganic Fertilizers

By Form

Dry Fertilizers

Liquid Fertilizers

By Application

Agriculture

Horticulture

Gardening

Others

By Country

United States

Canada

Mexico

Rest of North America

Key Market Players (Company Analysis Included in Report)

Company

CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

ICL Group Ltd

Nutrien Ltd

Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA (SQM)

BASF SA

The Andersons Inc.

The Mosaic Company

Yara International ASA

Each company in the Renub Research report is analyzed through:

✔ Overview ✔ Key Management ✔ Financial Insights ✔ Recent Developments ✔ Strategic Positioning

The Future Outlook for North America Fertilizer Market

By 2033, the fertilizer ecosystem in North America will look vastly different from today. The industry is expected to evolve through:

🔹 Smart nutrient application powered by AI & data science

🔹 Carbon-neutral fertilizer production and blue/green ammonia developments

🔹 Greater adoption of organic, bio-based, and controlled-release fertilizers

🔹 Localized supply chains with reduced dependence on imports

🔹 Soil health management replacing traditional volume-based fertilization

While challenges remain, the market’s future strongly favors innovation over convention—focusing on efficiency, sustainability, and scalability.

Final Thoughts

North America’s fertilizer sector is no longer just about feeding crops—it’s about feeding a planet responsibly. With Renub Research forecasting a US$ 92.23 billion market by 2033, this industry has become a foundation stone in the conversation around sustainability, technological advancement, and global food security.

As stakeholders embrace greener practices, invest in domestic capacity, and adopt data-driven farming, the region is positioning itself as both an agricultural powerhouse and a sustainability role model.