Betting strategy guide - Over 0.5 Goals

Betting on over 0.5 goals is often overlooked but can be super profitable. This type of bet is especially great for live betting and can really pay off if you nail down the right strategy. We'll dive into why you might want to consider betting on the over 0.5 goals market instead of the more popular options like over 1.5, over 2.5, over 3.5, or Goal-No Goal.

If you dig into stats online, you'll find that in the top 5 European leagues (Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1), the rate of 0-0 draws hovers around 6-7% each season. That means you can expect about one 0-0 match for every 16 to 17 games. So, on a typical Premier League weekend with 10 matches, you might see one of those end in a draw, or roughly two 0-0s over three match days (30 games).

2021/2022 Season - Total Games: 1826, 0-0s: 127, %0-0s: 6.96%

2022/2023 Season - Total Games: 1826, 0-0s: 110, %0-0s: 6.02%

2023/2024 Season - Total Games: 1752, 0-0s: 112, %0-0s: 6.39%

Current Season - Total Games: 1231, 0-0s: 74, %0-0s: 6.01%

Looking at the stats above, we can conclude that over 90% of games have at least one goal scored. If we dig a little deeper, we find that this percentage ranges from 90% to 98%, depending on the league, with the Premier League boasting the highest average across all seasons at around 95%. Considering all this, it’s safe to say that betting on over 0.5 goals is the most reliable option with the highest chances of hitting.

Additionally, in the last three full seasons across the top five European leagues, out of 5,404 matches, only 349 ended in a 0-0 draw, which is about 6.46% overall.

So, what kind of odds can you find for the over 0.5 goals pick? What strategy should you follow to make a profit without risking your initial capital? If you check the odds online, you'll see that over 0.5 goals is usually offered at odds between 1.01 and 1.07. This means that if you consistently find picks with odds between 1.05 and 1.07, starting with a bankroll of $100 and placing single bets each time, after each winning bet, you could end up with an extra $5 or $7.

After winning about 15-17 bets, we could double our money and reach $200. But there's a big risk involved because if even one game ends in a 0-0 draw, we could face significant losses. So, what strategy can we use to make a decent profit by taking advantage of the fact that betting on over 0.5 goals is one of the safest bets with the highest chances of coming true?

During a live game, as time ticks by and the score stays at 0-0, the odds keep climbing. If the match is in the 20th to 30th minute, you’ll see the odds shift to around 1.2-1.25. This is the perfect moment to place your bets! Look for three games with odds of 1.25 or higher, and you’ll automatically create a pick with odds of 2.00! Since a 0-0 result happens every 16-17 games, if you’re quick and not afraid to bet online, you could score some nice profits.

For example, last night, on 6/3/2025, there were 16 matches in the Europa League and Conference League, and guess what? Not a single game ended in a 0-0 draw! If you had pinpointed the matches where the first goal came after the 20th minute, you could have easily doubled or tripled your cash!

So, to wrap it up, if you can come up with a solid betting strategy and handle your starting funds wisely, betting on 0.5 goals might be worth considering!