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Football Betting Tips and Strategies

Guide to Betting on Football

By Emma AdePublished 9 months ago 6 min read
Football Betting Tips and Strategies
Photo by Peter Glaser on Unsplash

Football, also known as “soccer” in some parts of the world is the most popular sport in history and it also comes with the largest betting market due to its appeal. For most bettors, betting is more than a hobby, it is a source of regular income. Unfortunately, most people who bet on football games don’t have any strategy, hence they lose more than they gain. Like any other form of gambling, football betting requires discipline, knowledge, and strategy. This guide explores some practical tips and techniques to help gamblers navigate the world of football betting.

Football Betting- The Basics

Before you learn the specifics of betting, you should understand the basics, especially the common types of bets. These are;

1. Over and Under (Total)

In this situation, you take a bet on the total number of goals scored in a match. For instance, you win an over 3.5 goals bet if the total number of goals scored in a game is 4 or higher.

2. Match Outcome or Moneyline (1x2)

This is the simplest betting form where you wager on the winner of a match. 1 means a home team wins while X means a draw and 2 means the away or visiting team wins.

3. BTTS ( Both Teams To Score)

This bet predicts both teams to score in a match.

4. Correct Score

This bet predicts the final score of a match.

5. Handicap Betting

This is known as “Spread Betting”, and it involves betting on a team to handicap and level the playing field. For instance, you can bet on a soccer team with a -2 handicap, which means they must win by three or more goals for you to win the bet.

6. Double Chance

This is a bet where you bet a team to win or draw a match. You win this bet as long as your chosen team doesn’t lose.

7. Accumulator Bets

Also known as “Parlays”. This is a bet you place on multiple outcomes and all of them must happen for you to win. Remember, the payouts on accumulator bets are significantly higher but carry greater risks too.

The Keys to Successful Soccer Betting (Strategies)

The following are the strategies you should learn to become a successful soccer bettor;

1. Do A Little Research

Performing a little research is one of the critical components of successful betting. Pay attention to the players, and team performances when doing your research. The following are the things you should pay attention to.

2. Football Team Form

A team on a winning spree will likely have more confidence to win more psychology.

3. Head-to-Head (H2H) Records

In football, teams do have a psychological advantage over their opponents. You should streamline your research to the history between the two teams and if one has consistently prevailed over the other.

4. Suspensions and Injuries

The strength of a team is often depleted by injuries and suspensions. The unavailability of key players in a team through injuries and suspensions can impact the team’s performance. Pay attention to the latest team news days and hours before a match.

5. Tactical Considerations

Tactical elements like a team’s playing style, can either help or destroy a team’s performance. A tactically defensive or attacking team will likely outperform a low-scoring team.

6. Other Consideration

Weather conditions like rain and snow may affect teams’ performances. Similarly, home and away records can help you ascertain which team may likely perform better. A stronger team with good away winning records will likely avoid a loss in a match.

Manage Your Finances

Money management is one of the crucial elements to winning football bets consistently. Without proper money management, even the best betting strategy will fail. The following are some financial management tips for betting.

1. Always Set a Budget

You should always stake money you can afford to lose and must be a fraction of the amount in your betting account.

2. Manage Your Stake Size

Do not play large bets relative to your bankroll. Experts recommend that you bet between 1% and 5% of your total bet money on a single bet.

3. Don’t Chase Losses

If you lose a bet, you must avoid staking larger bets to recoup losses. Always stick to your budget and stake sizes.

4. Always Keep Records

Try as much as possible to keep detailed records of your bets and these should include the amount you staked, the odds you got, types of bets, and the outcome. This will help you analyze your performance and stick to your winning strategy in the long run.

Top Betting Strategies

The following are the most common football betting strategies you should consider;

1. Using Statistics and Models

Some bettors rely on statistical models to predict football match outcomes. These could be simple calculations or complex algorithms that combine several variables to work out match outcomes.

2. Value Betting

This is one of the most popular and reliable betting strategies around. This involves looking for bet odds with higher than actual probability. For instance, if you believe a team has 75% of winning a match at home but the odds imply 65%, then you have discovered a value bet.

3. Betting Against the Public

This is not often the best strategy, but sometimes works. In a typical scenario, the majority of bettors will likely put their money on popular teams and that could force the odds to be lowered. Since bookmakers often adjust odds based on public sentiment, you may get higher value for betting against such.

4. In-Play Betting

Betting on a match that has just begun can offer some opportunities, especially if you can read the game’s trend. If for instance, the home team starts strongly by creating more chances, you can bet on them to win. Remember, In-play betting is often available after the first few minutes of a game.

5. Arbitrage Betting

Arbitrage betting is one of the best ways to avoid loss in a soccer match. It means you place bets on all possible outcomes of a match but with different bookmakers to guarantee your profit. This strategy comes with very low risk, but you need to identify differences in odds between bookmakers to get that profit margin you want.

6. Pay Attention to Specific Teams or League

You can have an edge over bookmakers when you focus on a specific football team or league. When you specialize on a specific team, you can identify more value bets to put your money on.

7. Bet on Draws

Casual bettors will often overlook betting on draws but this strategy can offer greater value, especially in low-scoring football leagues. Remember, bets on draw offer higher returns than straight win bets on teams.

Psychological Strategies for Betting

Betting can put emotional pressure on you, hence being prepared psychologically for it is as important as any other strategy. The following are the numerous ways you can prepare yourself psychologically to win your bets steadily;

1. Be Disciplined

Do not engage in impulsive betting, rather you should stick to your winning strategy.

2. Be Patient

Success in football betting will not happen overnight. Those who have made the most fortune from it are usually those who lost heavily in the past. Be patient and focus more on long-term profitability rather than short-term wins.

3. Don’t Bet Based on Bias

Don’t bet because of the bias you have for some favorite teams, rather, you should bet based on research and logic.

4. Accept Losses

Occasional losses are fine, hence they should be acceptable. Doing this will help you develop a healthy betting mindset.

Utilize Your Bonuses and Promotions

Sports Bookmakers often use promotions and bonuses to attract new customers and reward loyalty. Make sure you read and understand the terms and conditions attached to these promotions before signing up for them. Common promotions you can utilize include;

 Welcome bonuses in the form of deposit funds and free bets

 Boosted odds on specific matches

 Cashback offers are applicable on losses of a certain amount.

Conclusion

Football betting can be highly profitable when approached with the right mindset and strategies. While there are no guarantees of long-term success, the tips and strategies highlighted above will help you win more and minimize losses effectively.

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About the Creator

Emma Ade

Emma is an accomplished freelance writer with strong passion for investigative storytelling and keen eye for details. Emma has crafted compelling narratives in diverse genres, and continue to explore new ideas to push boundaries.

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